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Melilla CD vs Malaga B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Sat, Mar 20, 2021
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melilla CD host Malaga B in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Melilla CD at 0.97 goals for, 1.77 against; Malaga B at 1.22 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Melilla CD have won 1 to Malaga B's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2021, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.05) back Malaga B to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Melilla CD
15%
Draws
85%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malaga B lately — more wins on the board than Melilla CD.
  • Malaga B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 20%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla CD Malaga B
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Malaga B
3:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Melilla CD
5:0
Mar 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Malaga B
1:1
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Melilla CD
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla CD 20 / 100
Malaga B 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla CD Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Melilla CD scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Malaga B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malaga B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla CD

(Home)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
Page 1 of 6

Malaga B

(Away)
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 20 10 6 4 35:12 36
2 Almeria B 20 9 6 5 32:25 33
3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 20 9 6 5 35:25 33
4 CD Torreperogil 20 7 7 6 16:17 28
5 Huetor Tajar 20 6 10 4 28:25 28
6 Huetor Vega 20 6 7 7 25:27 25
7 Jaen 20 7 4 9 24:27 25
8 CP Almeria 20 6 5 9 15:25 23
9 Loja 20 6 3 11 15:32 21
10 Atletico de Porcuna 20 3 12 5 22:23 21
11 Maracena 20 4 8 8 19:28 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez 18 11 4 3 22:15 37
2 Antequera 18 8 6 4 29:11 30
3 El Palo 18 7 7 4 18:17 28
4 Torremolinos 18 7 7 4 23:18 28
5 Malaga B 18 8 4 6 28:19 28
6 CD Estepona 18 5 5 8 18:25 20
7 Alhaurin 18 5 5 8 17:27 20
8 Motril 18 6 2 10 21:26 20
9 Melilla CD 18 4 5 9 17:29 17
10 CD Alhaurino 18 4 5 9 22:28 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)