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Melilla vs Almeria B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla
Melilla Logo

Melilla

3 - 0
FT
Almeria B Logo

Almeria B

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Segura A.
38' Event
Rodriguez R.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Dago J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Melilla in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Melilla
15%
Draws
36%
Almeria B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Melilla have won more games recently than Almeria B.
  • Melilla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Melilla here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Melilla Clean Sheet 68%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Almeria B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Almeria B
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Melilla
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Melilla
1:4
Nov 4, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Almeria B
4:0
Mar 27, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Almeria B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Segura A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dago J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Almeria B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 50 / 100
Almeria B 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Almeria B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almeria B has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Melilla scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Melilla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Almeria B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
Page 1 of 6

Almeria B

(Away)
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)