Sport Picks
Melilla vs La Union (Malacitano)
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla 
Match Events
13'
13'
Riera R.
28'
28'
El Kounni K.
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Rodriguez R.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Melilla and La Union (Malacitano) finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- La Union (Malacitano) carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Melilla taking it.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Melilla Clean Sheet 68%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melilla | La Union (Malacitano) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs La Union (Malacitano)
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Melilla
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Melilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Segura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
La Union (Malacitano) Compare
Top Goalscorer Riera R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melilla 50 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melilla La Union (Malacitano)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Union (Malacitano) has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Melilla's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Melilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Melilla VS La Union (Malacitano)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Melilla
(Home) 20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1 Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2 Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1 Conil
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4 Linares
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1 Aguilas FC
28 Mar
Melilla
3 : 0 Almeria B
Page 1 of 3
La Union (Malacitano)
(Away) 03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
21 Mar
Xerez CD
2 : 1 La Union (Malacitano)
11 Mar
Linares
0 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
