Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mellieha vs Munxar

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mellieha in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mellieha
15%
Draws
42%
Munxar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mellieha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Mellieha have won more games recently than Munxar.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Mellieha taking it.
  • Mellieha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mellieha, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mellieha Clean Sheet 15%
Munxar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mellieha Munxar
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 10 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.4 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2017 FA Trophy
Mellieha vs Munxar
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mellieha 84 / 100
Munxar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mellieha Munxar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mellieha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Munxar conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Mellieha's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Munxar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mellieha VS Munxar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mellieha

(Home)
10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0
Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2
Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Mellieha
26 Oct
Mellieha
1 : 4
Swieqi
02 Dec
Mellieha
0 : 5
Lija
Page 1 of 6

Munxar

(Away)
13 Sept
Kercem Ajax
5 : 0
Munxar
07 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 2
Munxar
31 Aug
Munxar
0 : 4
Nadur
03 Sept
Mellieha
4 : 3
Munxar
21 Oct
Munxar
0 : 8
Gharghur
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Oratory 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 4
St. Lawrence 1
TBD -
Msida -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
Munxar 3
Mellieha 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
Kirkop 2
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax 5
Oratory 4
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq 3
Qala Saints 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Nadur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 2
Msida 1
Victoria Wanderers 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows 3
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 4
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mdina 2
Mellieha 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Marsa 0
Santa Lucia 4
Melita 4
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC 0
San Gwann 2
Kercem Ajax 2
Attard 0
Sirens 1
Zebbug 3
Qormi 4
Fgura 1
Zurrieq 1
Qrendi 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Birzebbuga 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Vittoriosa 7
Gharghur 1
Xghajra 2
Xewkija 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi 4
Luqa 2
Pembroke 1
Pieta 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Mqabba FC 3
Marsaxlokk 5
Zabbar 0
Dingli Swallows 0
Zejtun 5
Lija -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Kalkara 2
Swieqi 2
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 3
Rabat Ajax 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 5
Santa Lucia 0
Melita 0
San Gwann 3
Kercem Ajax 5
Zebbug 1
Qormi 0
Qrendi 2
Hibernians 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Xewkija 4
Hamrun 1
Gzira 0
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 3
Valletta 2
Senglea 0
Siggiewi 2
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 3
Lija 4
Kalkara 0
Swieqi 0
Tarxien 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 1
Balzan FC 4
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 2
San Gwann 1
Kercem Ajax 3
Qrendi 4
Hibernians 3
Xewkija 0
Hamrun 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Zejtun 2
Lija 2
Tarxien 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Balzan FC 2
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Qrendi 0
Hibernians 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Zejtun 0
Lija 1
Balzan FC 3
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Balzan FC 1
Final
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 2