Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2025 Valley Stadium, West Des Moines, IA

Menace

1 - 2

Union Omaha

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Sub

Wright-Phillips B. In: Hagan C.

Out: Wright-Phillips B.

18'

Acoff D.

Assist: Gomez A.

24'

Knapp B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Omaha in this US Open Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Menace

15%

Draws

58%

Union Omaha

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Union Omaha lately — more wins on the board than Menace.
Union Omaha are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Union Omaha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Union Omaha, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Union Omaha have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Menace Clean Sheet 10%

Union Omaha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Menace	Union Omaha
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	18
Draws	2	4
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	2.5	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.59	2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 US Open Cup

Menace vs Union Omaha

1:2

Apr 4, 2024 US Open Cup

Union Omaha vs Menace

3:1

Apr 6, 2022 US Open Cup

Union Omaha vs Menace

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Menace Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22

Avg xA / game 0.8

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Acoff D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gomez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.1

Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Menace 22 / 100

Union Omaha 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Menace Union Omaha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Menace scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Union Omaha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Menace has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Menace VS Union Omaha

1.8 Goals Scored 2.63

2 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 75%

40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Menace

(Home)

12 Jul

Menace

3 : 1

St. Louis Ambush

08 Jul

Springfield FC

2 : 4

Menace

04 Jul

Menace

0 : 3

Santafe Wanderers

01 Jul

Sunflower State

2 : 1

Menace

28 Jun

Menace

1 : 2

Peoria IL

Page 1 of 6

Union Omaha

(Away)

20 Sept

Union Omaha

2 : 1

One Knoxville

16 Sept

Union Omaha

3 : 1

Spokane Velocity

13 Sept

Corpus Christi FC

1 : 2

Union Omaha

06 Sept

Union Omaha

2 : 0

Charlotte Independence

30 Aug

Union Omaha

1 : 1

New York Cosmos

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Louisville City -

TBD -

West Chester United 2

Loudoun United 3

Richmond Kickers 1

Virginia Dream 3

TBD -

Minnesota United -

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Sporting Kansas City II 1

Menace 2

Flatirons 1

Union Omaha 2

TBD -

San Antonio FC -

Hartford Athletic 3

New York Shockers 0

Portland Hearts of Pine 4

Faialense 0

TBD -

Rhode Island -

TBD -

New England Revolution -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Detroit City -

TBD -

Motown 0

Westchester SC 1

FC Cincinnati 2 0

New York Pancyprian 1

Tacoma Defiance 3

Washington AC 1

Ballard 0

Spokane Velocity 1

TBD -

Oakland Roots -

TBD -

Portland Timbers -

Sacramento Republic -

TBD -

Monterey Bay 4

International San Francisco 0

Real Monarchs 1

El Farolito 3

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

Forward Madison 5

Duluth FC 1

Tulsa Athletic 0

FC Tulsa 1

TBD -

Phoenix Rising -

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico -

TBD -

Ventura County 7

Laguna United 0

El Paso Locomotive 5

Harpos 1

Philadelphia Union -

TBD -

Indy Eleven -

TBD -

Inter Miami II 4

Miami United 2

Miami FC 4

Naples United 1

Columbus Crew 2 4

NY Renegades 1

Lexington 5

Southern Indiana 0

TBD -

Pittsburgh Riverhounds -

TBD -

New York City -

Colorado Springs -

TBD -

Asheville City 0

Greenville Triumph 1

Appalachian FC 0

One Knoxville 3

TBD -

New York Red Bulls -

FC Dallas -

TBD -

AV Alta FC 3

Ventura 1

Los Angeles FC 2 7

Arizona FC 1

TBD -

Orange County SC -

Sarasota Paradise 1

FC Naples 2

Little Rock Rangers 1

Birmingham Legion 0

TBD -

Tampa Bay -

TBD -

Orlando City -

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Las Vegas Lights -

TBD -

Chattanooga 1

Corpus Christi FC 0

New Jersey Alliance 2

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3

Long Island 2

Charlotte Independence 3

Carolina Core 4

Soda City 2

TBD -

North Carolina FC -

TBD -

Charlotte FC -

DC United -

TBD -

Charleston -

TBD -

South Georgia Tormenta 3

Harbor City 0

Texoma FC 1

Foro 2

1/64-finals

Louisville City -

TBD -

Loudoun United 4

Virginia Dream 2

TBD -

Minnesota United -

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Menace 1

Union Omaha 2

TBD -

San Antonio FC -

Hartford Athletic 1

Portland Hearts of Pine 2

TBD -

Rhode Island -

TBD -

New England Revolution -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Detroit City -

TBD -

Westchester SC 3

New York Pancyprian 2

Tacoma Defiance 2

Spokane Velocity 1

TBD -

Oakland Roots -

TBD -

Portland Timbers -

Sacramento Republic -

TBD -

Monterey Bay 1

El Farolito 2

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

Forward Madison 1

FC Tulsa 3

TBD -

Phoenix Rising -

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico -

TBD -

Ventura County 0

El Paso Locomotive 3

Philadelphia Union -

TBD -

Indy Eleven -

TBD -

Inter Miami II 0

Miami FC 1

Columbus Crew 2 3

Lexington 0

TBD -

Pittsburgh Riverhounds -

TBD -

New York City -

Colorado Springs -

TBD -

Greenville Triumph 1

One Knoxville 3

TBD -

New York Red Bulls -

FC Dallas -

TBD -

AV Alta FC 2

Los Angeles FC 2 1

TBD -

Orange County SC -

FC Naples 3

Little Rock Rangers 0

TBD -

Tampa Bay -

TBD -

Orlando City -

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Las Vegas Lights -

TBD -

Chattanooga 1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2

Charlotte Independence 2

Carolina Core 1

TBD -

North Carolina FC -

TBD -

Charlotte FC -

DC United -

TBD -

Charleston -

TBD -

South Georgia Tormenta 3

Foro 2

1/32-finals

Louisville City 2

Loudoun United 1

TBD -

Minnesota United -

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Union Omaha 1

San Antonio FC 0

Portland Hearts of Pine 1

Rhode Island 2

TBD -

New England Revolution -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Detroit City 3

Westchester SC 1

Tacoma Defiance 2

Oakland Roots 1

TBD -

Portland Timbers -

Sacramento Republic 1

El Farolito 0

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

FC Tulsa 1

Phoenix Rising 2

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico 2

El Paso Locomotive 3

Philadelphia Union -

TBD -

Indy Eleven 1

Miami FC 0

Columbus Crew 2 0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

TBD -

New York City -

Colorado Springs 3

One Knoxville 2

TBD -

New York Red Bulls -

FC Dallas -

TBD -

AV Alta FC 3

Orange County SC 2

FC Naples 1

Tampa Bay 2

TBD -

Orlando City -

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Las Vegas Lights 2

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3

Charlotte Independence 1

North Carolina FC 3

TBD -

Charlotte FC -

DC United -

TBD -

Charleston 4

South Georgia Tormenta 0

1/16-finals

Louisville City 0

Minnesota United 1

St. Louis City 2

Union Omaha 0

Rhode Island 1

New England Revolution 2

Chicago Fire 4

Detroit City 0

Tacoma Defiance 2

Portland Timbers 3

Sacramento Republic 1

San Jose Earthquakes 2

Phoenix Rising 1

Houston Dynamo 4

Austin FC 3

El Paso Locomotive 2

Philadelphia Union 2

Indy Eleven 1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

New York City 0

Colorado Springs 1

New York Red Bulls 4

FC Dallas 3

AV Alta FC 1

Tampa Bay 0

Orlando City 5

Nashville SC 1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0

North Carolina FC 1

Charlotte FC 4

DC United 2

Charleston 0

1/8-finals

Minnesota United 3

St. Louis City 2

New England Revolution 1

Chicago Fire 3

Portland Timbers 0

San Jose Earthquakes 1

Houston Dynamo 1

Austin FC 3

Philadelphia Union 4

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

New York Red Bulls 3

FC Dallas 2

Orlando City 2

Nashville SC 3

Charlotte FC 3

DC United 4

Quarter-finals

Minnesota United 3

Chicago Fire 1

San Jose Earthquakes 2

Austin FC 3

Philadelphia Union 3

New York Red Bulls 2

Nashville SC 5

DC United 2

Semi-finals

Minnesota United 1

Austin FC 2

Philadelphia Union 1

Nashville SC 3

Final

Austin FC 1

Nashville SC 2

Menace vs Union Omaha

USA

Menace

Union Omaha

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Menace Compare

Union Omaha Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Menace

Union Omaha

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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