Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mendrisio vs Freienbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mendrisio
30%
Draws
41%
Freienbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freienbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mendrisio lately — more wins on the board than Freienbach.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 16%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Freienbach
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Freienbach
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Freienbach
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Mendrisio
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Mendrisio
4:1
Aug 10, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Freienbach
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 31 / 100
Freienbach 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Freienbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freienbach has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Mendrisio's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mendrisio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Freienbach
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
31 Oct
Taverne
2 : 1
Mendrisio
24 Oct
Mendrisio
0 : 0
Locarno
17 Oct
Mendrisio
3 : 1
Kosova
10 Oct
Dietikon
2 : 0
Mendrisio
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
Page 1 of 7

Freienbach

(Away)
31 Oct
Tuggen
1 : 2
Freienbach
24 Oct
Freienbach
1 : 2
Wettswil-Bonstetten
17 Oct
Freienbach
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
10 Oct
St. Gallen II
1 : 0
Freienbach
07 Oct
Freienbach
0 : 0
Eschen/Mauren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Taverne 12 7 3 2 29:15 24
3 Tuggen 12 7 3 2 27:15 24
4 Baden 12 7 1 4 30:18 22
5 Collina d'Oro 12 6 3 3 15:12 21
6 Kosova 12 5 5 2 19:13 20
7 Thalwil 12 5 4 3 19:15 19
8 Wettswil-Bonstetten 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
9 Dietikon 12 4 3 5 16:18 15
10 Gossau 12 4 2 6 16:24 14
11 Freienbach 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
12 Eschen/Mauren 12 3 3 6 19:26 12
13 Locarno 12 2 5 5 12:15 11
14 Winterthur II 12 3 1 8 13:23 10
15 Mendrisio 12 1 6 5 12:17 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)