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Mendrisio vs Gossau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio host Gossau in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gossau have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Mendrisio have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.35. Past meetings favor Mendrisio slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2024, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.63, favoring Mendrisio. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mendrisio
30%
Draws
42%
Gossau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gossau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mendrisio come out ahead of Gossau on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 14%
Gossau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Gossau
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.35 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.26 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Mendrisio
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Gossau
2:0
Apr 27, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Mendrisio
0:0
Sep 29, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Gossau
1:3
Apr 28, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Mendrisio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 31 / 100
Gossau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Gossau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gossau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gossau let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Mendrisio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Mendrisio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Gossau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
24 Oct
Mendrisio
0 : 0
Locarno
17 Oct
Mendrisio
3 : 1
Kosova
10 Oct
Dietikon
2 : 0
Mendrisio
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
26 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Mendrisio
Page 1 of 7

Gossau

(Away)
24 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 1
Gossau
17 Oct
Gossau
1 : 0
Zug
10 Oct
Gossau
3 : 2
Baden
03 Oct
Gossau
4 : 1
FC Widnau
26 Sept
Taverne
5 : 0
Gossau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Tuggen 11 7 3 1 26:13 24
3 Taverne 11 6 3 2 27:14 21
4 Baden 11 6 1 4 27:17 19
5 Thalwil 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
6 Collina d'Oro 11 5 3 3 13:12 18
7 Kosova 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
8 Dietikon 11 4 2 5 14:16 14
9 Gossau 11 4 2 5 16:21 14
10 Wettswil-Bonstetten 11 3 3 5 14:16 12
11 Eschen/Mauren 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
12 Locarno 11 2 5 4 12:13 11
13 Freienbach 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Mendrisio 11 1 6 4 11:15 9
15 Winterthur II 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)