Sport Picks

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Mendrisio vs Kosova

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio play Kosova in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mendrisio averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Kosova averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Mendrisio won 2, Kosova won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Mendrisio and 1.63 for Kosova. This points to a Mendrisio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mendrisio
17%
Draws
36%
Kosova
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mendrisio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Mendrisio picked up more points recently compared to Kosova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 14%
Kosova Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Kosova
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Kosova
4:3
Aug 23, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Kosova vs Mendrisio
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Kosova
1:0
Sep 4, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Kosova vs Mendrisio
1:0
May 4, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Kosova vs Mendrisio
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 45 / 100
Kosova 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Kosova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mendrisio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mendrisio attacking → ← attacking Kosova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mendrisio scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Kosova let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mendrisio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kosova lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714