Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mendrisio vs Linth

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Okaingni R.
88' Event
De Biasi A.

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2024/2025 game between Mendrisio and Linth finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mendrisio
35%
Draws
19%
Linth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mendrisio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mendrisio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mendrisio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 20%
Linth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Linth
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Linth
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Linth vs Mendrisio
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Linth
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Linth vs Mendrisio
2:2
Mar 30, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Linth
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mendrisio Compare

Top Goalscorer Okaingni R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Biasi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Linth Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 85 / 100
Linth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Linth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mendrisio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linth let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mendrisio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mendrisio's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
22 Aug
Collina d'Oro
1 : 1
Mendrisio
16 Aug
FC Widnau
1 : 1
Mendrisio
08 Aug
Kosova
0 : 0
Mendrisio
30 May
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Taverne
23 May
Mendrisio
1 : 0
Tuggen
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Linth

(Away)
24 May
Linth
0 : 6
Young Fellows Juventus
17 May
Mendrisio
2 : 0
Linth
10 May
Linth
2 : 1
Tuggen
03 May
Hongg
2 : 0
Linth
26 Apr
Linth
0 : 3
Collina d'Oro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Kreuzlingen 30 17 5 8 54:38 56
2 Young Fellows Juventus 30 16 5 9 62:37 53
3 Wettswil-Bonstetten 30 15 8 7 48:32 53
4 St. Gallen II 30 14 10 6 54:31 52
5 Winterthur II 30 14 8 8 61:45 50
6 Collina d'Oro 30 14 6 10 44:29 48
7 Tuggen 30 15 3 12 58:44 48
8 Taverne 30 11 7 12 36:49 40
9 Kosova 30 10 9 11 37:39 39
10 Eschen/Mauren 30 11 5 14 40:45 38
11 Hongg 30 9 10 11 36:40 37
12 Freienbach 30 11 2 17 43:54 35
13 SV Schaffhausen 30 9 7 14 45:62 34
14 Mendrisio 30 9 5 16 32:46 32
15 Linth 30 7 7 16 44:76 28
16 Uzwil 30 6 7 17 40:67 25
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)