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Menemenspor vs Bigaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2022/2023 Menemen İlçe Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Menemenspor play Bigaspor in the Turkish Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Menemenspor averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Bigaspor averaged 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Menemenspor won 1, Bigaspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 29, 2022 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Menemenspor and 0.81 for Bigaspor. This points to a Menemenspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Menemenspor
15%
Draws
38%
Bigaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Menemenspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Menemenspor picked up more points recently compared to Bigaspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Menemenspor Clean Sheet 26%
Bigaspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Menemenspor Bigaspor
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2022 Turkish Cup
Menemenspor vs Bigaspor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Menemenspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Acikgoz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kayilibal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bigaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Mete B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deniz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Menemenspor 48 / 100
Bigaspor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Menemenspor Bigaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Menemenspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Menemenspor attacking → ← attacking Bigaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Menemenspor scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Bigaspor let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Menemenspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bigaspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 12
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00