Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010

Mensajero

2 - 1

Pajara Playas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mensajero in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Mensajero

44%

Draws

20%

Pajara Playas

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Mensajero have won more games recently than Pajara Playas.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Mensajero Clean Sheet 20%

Pajara Playas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mensajero	Pajara Playas
Matches Played	45	33
Wins	25	16
Draws	10	4
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.75	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Pajara Playas vs Mensajero

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero vs Pajara Playas

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero vs Pajara Playas

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Pajara Playas vs Mensajero

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mensajero 36 / 100

Pajara Playas 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mensajero Pajara Playas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAJ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mensajero's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Pajara Playas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mensajero remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mensajero VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corralejo	41	21	16	4	56:25	79
2	Las Palmas B	41	20	14	7	67:38	74
3	Pajara Playas	41	21	11	9	64:36	74
4	CD Marino	41	19	13	9	65:39	70
5	Mensajero	41	17	17	7	59:36	68
6	Atletico Granadilla	41	19	11	11	55:48	68
7	Villa Santa Brigida	41	15	15	11	42:29	60
8	UD Realejos	41	15	11	15	45:43	56
9	AD Huracan	41	14	13	14	42:40	55
10	SD Tenisca	41	16	7	18	55:47	55
11	Tijarafe	41	12	16	13	51:53	52
12	Castillo CF	41	11	17	13	46:50	50
13	Orientacion Maritima	41	12	14	15	44:55	50
14	Teror	41	12	13	16	46:53	49
15	CD Laguna	41	12	11	18	41:54	47
16	Las Zocas	41	11	14	16	38:53	47
17	Victoria CD	41	10	17	14	37:44	47
18	CD Charco Del Pino	41	10	16	15	39:50	46
19	Galdar	41	9	13	19	34:62	40
20	Los Llanos	41	7	15	19	33:58	36
21	Univ. Las Palmas B	41	7	11	23	44:73	32
22	Fuerteventura	21	5	7	9	23:40	22