Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011

Mensajero

2 - 1

UD Guia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 game between Mensajero and UD Guia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Mensajero

17%

Draws

13%

UD Guia

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mensajero come out ahead of UD Guia on wins alone.
Model gives Mensajero a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Mensajero Clean Sheet 20%

UD Guia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mensajero	UD Guia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	10
Draws	8	5
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.75	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero vs UD Guia

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD Guia vs Mensajero

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mensajero 67 / 100

UD Guia 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mensajero UD Guia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Guia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Mensajero scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mensajero has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mensajero VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lanzarote	40	23	10	7	65:30	79
2	Las Palmas B	40	23	9	8	68:43	78
3	Tenerife B	40	21	9	10	64:34	72
4	Atletico Granadilla	40	19	14	7	48:29	71
5	Villa Santa Brigida	40	17	12	11	62:47	63
6	CD Marino	40	17	11	12	52:38	62
7	Corralejo	40	16	14	10	52:39	62
8	Pajara Playas	40	17	6	17	54:59	57
9	SD Tenisca	40	17	6	17	48:58	57
10	Tijarafe	40	16	8	16	54:48	56
11	Vera CD	40	15	11	14	63:60	56
12	CD Laguna	40	15	6	19	47:48	51
13	Mensajero	40	14	8	18	62:62	50
14	AD Huracan	40	12	13	15	45:59	49
15	Teror	40	12	13	15	53:60	49
16	Las Zocas	40	12	11	17	42:50	47
17	Victoria CD	40	14	4	22	36:58	46
18	Orientacion Maritima	40	10	15	15	45:59	45
19	San Isidro	40	12	8	20	44:69	44
20	UD Guia	40	11	9	20	37:47	42
21	UD Realejos	40	6	5	29	40:84	23