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Meppen vs TSV Havelse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Hansch-Arena, Meppen
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meppen host TSV Havelse in the 3. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. TSV Havelse have shipped 2.4 goals a game lately, while Meppen have conceded 1.46 and scored 2.42. Head-to-head, Meppen have won 2 to TSV Havelse's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.69, favoring Meppen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Meppen
20%
Draws
40%
TSV Havelse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Meppen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Meppen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Meppen Clean Sheet 13%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meppen TSV Havelse
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 16 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.42 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Regionalliga North
TSV Havelse vs Meppen
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Regionalliga North
Meppen vs TSV Havelse
4:0
Apr 13, 2024 Regionalliga North
Meppen vs TSV Havelse
4:1
Oct 15, 2023 Regionalliga North
TSV Havelse vs Meppen
4:2
Feb 5, 2022 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Meppen
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meppen 84 / 100
TSV Havelse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meppen TSV Havelse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meppen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meppen scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: TSV Havelse conceded in 92% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: TSV Havelse registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meppen VS TSV Havelse
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Meppen

(Home)
10 Oct
Meppen
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart II
19 Sept
Hoffenheim II
1 : 0
Meppen
15 Sept
Meppen
1 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1
Meppen
05 Sept
Meppen
1 : 6
Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 6

TSV Havelse

(Away)
10 Oct
Regensburg
5 : 0
TSV Havelse
01 Oct
Wolfsburg
4 : 1
TSV Havelse
25 Sept
TSV Havelse
1 : 3
Fortuna Koln
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 8 7 0 1 22:9 21
2 FC Viktoria Koln 8 6 0 2 24:11 18
3 RW Essen 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Hansa Rostock 8 4 3 1 17:15 15
5 Saarbrucken 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
6 Mannheim 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
7 Hoffenheim II 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
8 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
9 Alemannia Aachen 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Dusseldorf 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
11 Verl 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
12 Fortuna Koln 8 2 4 2 8:8 10
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 18:17 8
14 VfB Stuttgart II 8 2 2 4 13:16 8
15 Ingolstadt 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
16 Wehen 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
17 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
18 Wurzburger Kickers 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
19 Meppen 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
20 TSV Havelse 8 1 1 6 10:20 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)