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Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
Merani Martvili Logo

Merani Martvili

1 - 2
FT
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Gagity R.
34' Event
Gugberidze B.
Assist: Kapanadze T.
38'
Kapanadze T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Merani Martvili
15%
Draws
34%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Merani Martvili haven't matched FC Gareji Sagarejo's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Gareji Sagarejo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 68%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Martvili FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
6:1
Aug 18, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Martvili Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagity R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gugberidze B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Martvili 41 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Martvili FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Martvili Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Merani Martvili scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

FC Gareji Sagarejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: FC Gareji Sagarejo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merani Martvili VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Martvili

(Home)
10 Oct
Gori
2 : 1
Merani Martvili
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
Page 1 of 6

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
10 Oct
Odishi 1919
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)