Sport Picks

Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava

Telavi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merani Martvili play Telavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Merani Martvili averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Telavi averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Merani Martvili won 1, Telavi won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Merani Martvili and 1.00 for Telavi. This points to a Telavi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Merani Martvili

35%

Draws

34%

Telavi

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Telavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Merani Martvili picked up more points recently compared to Telavi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 23%

Telavi Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merani Martvili	Telavi
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	12	8
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.1	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs Telavi

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Telavi vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 26, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Telavi vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 9, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs Telavi

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

May 12, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Telavi vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Martvili 33 / 100

Telavi 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merani Martvili Telavi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Telavi or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merani Martvili attacking → ← attacking Telavi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Martvili scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Telavi let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Merani Martvili went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Telavi lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 47

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	19	11	6	2	24:12	39
2	Telavi	19	10	5	4	22:15	35
3	Merani Martvili	19	8	6	5	23:20	30
4	Shturmi	19	6	9	4	17:14	27
5	Dusheti	19	7	4	8	18:23	25
6	Bolnisi	19	6	7	6	25:20	25
7	Odishi 1919	19	6	6	7	23:26	24
8	Kolkheti 1913	19	4	6	9	24:24	18
9	Gori	19	3	7	9	13:24	16
10	Samtredia	19	4	4	11	25:36	16