Sport Picks

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Merani Martvili vs Tskhinvali

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Merani Martvili
20%
Draws
20%
Tskhinvali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Martvili lately — more wins on the board than Tskhinvali.
  • Merani Martvili are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 20%
Tskhinvali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Martvili Tskhinvali
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.19 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Merani Martvili
2:0
Sep 29, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Tskhinvali
1:1
Jun 30, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Apr 26, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Tskhinvali
0:1
Oct 2, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Tskhinvali
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Martvili 85 / 100
Tskhinvali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Martvili Tskhinvali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Martvili Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tskhinvali has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Merani Martvili found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tskhinvali has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Martvili VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Martvili

(Home)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 7

Tskhinvali

(Away)
29 Nov
Tskhinvali
2 : 5
Gagra
23 Nov
Guria
1 : 1
Tskhinvali
10 Nov
Tskhinvali
0 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
03 Nov
FC Zugdidi
3 : 0
Tskhinvali
28 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 1
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 36 23 7 6 60:22 76
2 WIT Georgia 36 18 11 7 43:23 65
3 Gagra 36 16 10 10 50:41 58
4 Merani Tbilisi 36 14 9 13 54:47 51
5 Telavi 36 12 12 12 45:43 48
6 Shevardeni Tbilisi 36 11 10 15 38:49 43
7 Shukura 36 11 8 17 48:56 41
8 Samgurali 36 12 5 19 40:56 41
9 Merani Martvili 36 8 12 16 36:47 36
10 Tskhinvali 36 10 6 20 36:66 36
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)