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Merani Tbilisi vs FC Gardabani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi Logo

Merani Tbilisi

4 - 1
FT
FC Gardabani Logo

FC Gardabani

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Khochua I.
66' Event
Khochua I.
75' Event
Muzashvili T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Merani Tbilisi
20%
Draws
17%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi have won more games recently than FC Gardabani.
  • Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Merani Tbilisi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 16%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi FC Gardabani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.45 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Gardabani
4:1
Apr 2, 2026 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3
Aug 27, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Merani Tbilisi
2:0
Mar 27, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Gardabani
4:2
Aug 29, 2024 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Merani Tbilisi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khochua I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muzashvili T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

FC Gardabani Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapanadze V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 84 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gardabani let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Merani Tbilisi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Merani Tbilisi scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS FC Gardabani
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
09 Oct
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
Page 1 of 6

FC Gardabani

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
Khobi
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
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