Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Gonio

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Ingorokva L.
90' Event
Tolordava S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Merani Tbilisi and Gonio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Merani Tbilisi
20%
Draws
19%
Gonio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Gonio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Gonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Gonio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Gonio
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi
2:5
Jun 5, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Gonio
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolordava S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingorokva L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 83 / 100
Gonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Gonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merani Tbilisi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Merani Tbilisi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Gonio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Gonio
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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Gonio

(Away)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gonio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)