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Merani Tbilisi vs Shevardeni Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Wed, Sep 14, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi play Shevardeni Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Merani Tbilisi averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Shevardeni Tbilisi averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Merani Tbilisi won 1, Shevardeni Tbilisi won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 5, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Merani Tbilisi and 1.56 for Shevardeni Tbilisi. This points to a Merani Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Merani Tbilisi
33%
Draws
27%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi picked up more points recently compared to Shevardeni Tbilisi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Shevardeni Tbilisi
Matches Played 31 7
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.29 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi
0:0
Sep 14, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:0
Jun 15, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi
0:0
Apr 11, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
4:0
Nov 27, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 39 / 100
Shevardeni Tbilisi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Shevardeni Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Merani Tbilisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merani Tbilisi attacking → ← attacking Shevardeni Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Tbilisi scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Shevardeni Tbilisi let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Merani Tbilisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shevardeni Tbilisi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 7
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shukura28193652:2360
2Spaeri28156757:3551
3Samtredia28146843:2848
4Merani Martvili281261055:5342
5FC Gareji Sagarejo281061238:3636
6Merani Tbilisi281041434:5634
7FC Rustavi28651734:5423
8WIT Georgia28561730:5821
9FC Zugdidi00000:00
10Shevardeni Tbilisi00000:00