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Merani Tbilisi vs Tskhinvali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 game between Merani Tbilisi and Tskhinvali finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Merani Tbilisi
30%
Draws
9%
Tskhinvali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Tskhinvali haven't matched Merani Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Merani Tbilisi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Tskhinvali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Tskhinvali
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.58 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Tskhinvali
3:3
Aug 9, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Merani Tbilisi
1:4
May 16, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Tskhinvali
4:0
Mar 10, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Merani Tbilisi
1:2
Nov 11, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Merani Tbilisi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 85 / 100
Tskhinvali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Tskhinvali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tskhinvali has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Merani Tbilisi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Merani Tbilisi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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Tskhinvali

(Away)
29 Nov
Tskhinvali
2 : 5
Gagra
23 Nov
Guria
1 : 1
Tskhinvali
10 Nov
Tskhinvali
0 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
03 Nov
FC Zugdidi
3 : 0
Tskhinvali
28 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 1
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 36 23 7 6 60:22 76
2 WIT Georgia 36 18 11 7 43:23 65
3 Gagra 36 16 10 10 50:41 58
4 Merani Tbilisi 36 14 9 13 54:47 51
5 Telavi 36 12 12 12 45:43 48
6 Shevardeni Tbilisi 36 11 10 15 38:49 43
7 Shukura 36 11 8 17 48:56 41
8 Samgurali 36 12 5 19 40:56 41
9 Merani Martvili 36 8 12 16 36:47 36
10 Tskhinvali 36 10 6 20 36:66 36
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)