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Mercedes vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cardozo F.
23' Event
Ruiz F. C.
36'
Zuccaro M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mercedes
17%
Draws
13%
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mercedes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mercedes have won more games recently than Juventud Unida San Miguel.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Mercedes taking it.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Unida San Miguel Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mercedes Juventud Unida San Miguel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Primera C
Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Mercedes
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
0:0
Nov 28, 2023 Primera D
Mercedes vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
0:4
Aug 21, 2023 Primera D
Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Mercedes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mercedes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz F. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Juventud Unida San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardozo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercedes 77 / 100
Juventud Unida San Miguel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mercedes Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud Unida San Miguel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mercedes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mercedes scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mercedes VS Juventud Unida San Miguel
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Berazategui1988323:1432
3CSR Espanol1986526:1730
4Mercedes2078521:1129
5CA Lugano2078524:1929
6Puerto Nuevo2078518:1929
7Estrella Del Sur1977521:1728
8Victoriano Arenas2069517:1327
9Leandro N. Alem2075824:3326
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1957718:1922
11Defensores de Cambaceres2057815:2122
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2031079:1819
13Argentino de Rosario20211719:2617
14Deportivo Paraguayo1937910:2516
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canuelas2099223:1236
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Leones de Rosario1978419:1729
4Yupanqui2077624:2128
5Deportivo Espanol20610417:1428
6General Lamadrid2077618:2028
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas1967616:1725
10CSD Central Ballester1964918:2122
11Claypole1956815:2321
12Central Cordoba (Rosario)1948712:1520
13Fenix20551013:2120
14Deportivo Muniz2039814:2018