Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Britos G.
45'
Daniele E.
48' Event
Amado L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mercedes in this Primera C tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mercedes
20%
Draws
28%
Leones de Rosario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mercedes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mercedes haven't matched Leones de Rosario's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mercedes's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Leones de Rosario arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Leones de Rosario Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mercedes Leones de Rosario
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mercedes Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz Vera Borda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Leones de Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Britos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercedes 59 / 100
Leones de Rosario 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mercedes Leones de Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercedes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mercedes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mercedes scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Leones de Rosario conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Leones de Rosario's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mercedes VS Leones de Rosario
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mercedes

(Home)
17 Oct
Mercedes
2 : 1
Leones de Rosario
12 Oct
Mercedes
1 : 0
CA Lugano
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0
Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
Page 1 of 6

Leones de Rosario

(Away)
17 Oct
Mercedes
2 : 1
Leones de Rosario
12 Oct
Leones de Rosario
2 : 1
Fenix
05 Oct
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2
Leones de Rosario
28 Sept
Leones de Rosario
0 : 1
Club Lujan
20 Sept
General Lamadrid
1 : 1
Leones de Rosario
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrella Del Sur 1
General Lamadrid 1
Deportivo Espanol 1
Victoriano Arenas 0
Canuelas 1
CA Lugano 0
CSR Espanol 0
Central Cordoba (Rosario) 1
Sacachispas 0
Sportivo Barracas 0
Leones de Rosario 1
Mercedes 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -