Sport Picks
Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera C 
Match Events
63'
63'
Torres R.
89'
89'
Mercuri L.
AI Match Summary
Mercedes in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mercedes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mercedes lately — more wins on the board than Puerto Nuevo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 19%
Puerto Nuevo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mercedes | Puerto Nuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo
1:0
May 30, 2026 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo
1:1
May 11, 2025 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mercedes Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Puerto Nuevo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mercedes 32 / 100
Puerto Nuevo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mercedes Puerto Nuevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Puerto Nuevo lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Mercedes scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Puerto Nuevo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Mercedes VS Puerto Nuevo
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mercedes
(Home) 05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1 Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
22 Aug
Mercedes
2 : 0 Sacachispas
31 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 3
Puerto Nuevo
(Away) 04 Oct
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 4 Justo Jose de Urquiza
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 3 Deportivo Paraguayo
12 Sept
CSD Central Ballester
2 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
06 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1 CA Lugano
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
12 Sept
CSD Central Ballester
2 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
30 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 3 Puerto Nuevo
09 Aug
Juventud Unida San Miguel
1 : 1 Puerto Nuevo
23 Jul
Argentino de Rosario
0 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37:24 | 48 |
| 2 | CSR Espanol | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:28 | 47 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32:26 | 47 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31:29 | 45 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24:19 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:35 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:26 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23:39 | 32 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:56 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30:41 | 27 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 45:22 | 61 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 58 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:22 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 31 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 25:16 | 49 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 29:24 | 48 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 23:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32:32 | 39 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlas | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 23:27 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 26:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Fenix | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 23:30 | 34 |
| 13 | Claypole | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 25:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
