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Merelbeke vs Hasselt

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ponnet B.
25' Event
El Boutaibe T.
55' Event
Bounou M.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Merelbeke and Hasselt finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Merelbeke
15%
Draws
69%
Hasselt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hasselt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Hasselt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hasselt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 11%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Hasselt
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.4 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Hasselt
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Merelbeke
5:0
Apr 12, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Merelbeke
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Hasselt
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer El Boutaibe T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ponnet B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounou M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 10 / 100
Hasselt 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Hasselt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hasselt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Merelbeke's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hasselt has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Merelbeke has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Hasselt
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
19 Apr
Merelbeke
1 : 3
SK Roeselare
11 Apr
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Houtvenne
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Hasselt

(Away)
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
08 Aug
Hasselt
4 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
01 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
1 : 4
Hasselt
25 Jul
KSK Tongeren
0 : 10
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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