Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelinense vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Merelinense Logo

Merelinense

1 - 1
FT
Amarante FC Logo

Amarante FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 game between Merelinense and Amarante FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Merelinense
30%
Draws
31%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Amarante FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Merelinense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 10%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Amarante FC vs Merelinense
2:1
Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Amarante FC
1:1
Apr 2, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Amarante FC
1:1
Feb 12, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Amarante FC vs Merelinense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 40 / 100
Amarante FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merelinense scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Amarante FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Merelinense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS Amarante FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 6

Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)