Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelinense vs Forjaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Merelinense Logo

Merelinense

1 - 1
FT
Forjaes Logo

Forjaes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Merelinense and Forjaes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Merelinense
20%
Draws
19%
Forjaes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Forjaes haven't matched Merelinense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Merelinense a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 16%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Forjaes
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Forjaes
1:4
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs Merelinense
1:2
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Forjaes
1:1
Oct 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs Merelinense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 84 / 100
Forjaes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Forjaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Forjaes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Merelinense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 7

Forjaes

(Away)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)