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Merelinense vs Mirandes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 game between Merelinense and Mirandes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merelinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Merelinense
20%
Draws
33%
Mirandes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merelinense come out ahead of Mirandes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Merelinense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 18%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Mirandes
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 3
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.31 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Mirandes
1:0
Sep 16, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mirandes vs Merelinense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 49 / 100
Mirandes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Mirandes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Merelinense found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Merelinense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
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Mirandes

(Away)
12 May
Mirandes
4 : 1
SC Mirandela
05 May
Cacadores Taipas
2 : 3
Mirandes
28 Apr
Mirandes
1 : 3
AD Oliveirense
20 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Mirandes
14 Apr
Mirandes
1 : 1
Chaves B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vizela 32 23 6 3 73:13 75
2 AD Fafe 32 21 7 4 59:24 70
3 Sao Martinho 32 20 9 3 51:20 69
4 Trofense 32 20 7 5 60:24 67
5 FC Felgueiras 32 20 4 8 55:33 64
6 SC Mirandela 32 14 7 11 49:41 49
7 Chaves B 32 13 8 11 55:41 47
8 Merelinense 32 10 12 10 38:38 42
9 CDC Montalegre 32 10 10 12 37:50 40
10 Pedras Salgadas 32 11 6 15 43:52 39
11 Maria de Fonte 32 9 10 13 41:50 37
12 AD Oliveirense 32 10 7 15 40:55 37
13 AD Limianos 32 10 7 15 31:45 37
14 GD Uniao Torcatense 32 8 5 19 29:60 29
15 Mirandes 32 5 6 21 26:53 21
16 Cacadores Taipas 32 4 6 22 27:64 18
17 Vilaverdense FC 32 4 3 25 28:79 15
18 Gil Vicente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primeira Liga 2019/2020 (Main)