Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelinense vs Pevidem

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Merelinense Logo

Merelinense

0 - 1
FT
Pevidem Logo

Pevidem

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 game between Merelinense and Pevidem finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pevidem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Merelinense
20%
Draws
19%
Pevidem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Merelinense haven't matched Pevidem's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Merelinense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 68%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Pevidem
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Pevidem
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Merelinense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 95 / 100
Pevidem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Pevidem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Merelinense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pevidem has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS Pevidem
1 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 6

Pevidem

(Away)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)