Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2019/2020

Merelinense

Sun, Sep 8, 2019

1 - 0

04:00 PM

Ponte da Barca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merelinense in this Taça de Portugal 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%

Merelinense

20%

Draws

Ponte da Barca

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence

Merelinense have won more games recently than Ponte da Barca.
Model gives Merelinense a 73% chance of winning this.
Merelinense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Merelinense, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Merelinense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Merelinense Clean Sheet 16%

Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merelinense	Ponte da Barca
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	13	3
Draws	9	5
Losses	11	21
Goals Scored	1.48	0.76
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2019 Taça de Portugal

Merelinense vs Ponte da Barca

1:0

Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Ponte da Barca vs Merelinense

0:1

Oct 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Merelinense vs Ponte da Barca

5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 84 / 100

Ponte da Barca 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merelinense Ponte da Barca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Ponte da Barca has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Merelinense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS Ponte da Barca

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1.88 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)

16 Apr

Merelinense

1 : 0

Tirsense

08 Apr

Vilar de Perdizes

1 : 1

Merelinense

02 Apr

Merelinense

2 : 1

Desportivo Moncao

19 Mar

Merelinense

2 : 1

Pedras Salgadas

12 Mar

Amarante FC

2 : 1

Merelinense

Page 1 of 7

Ponte da Barca

(Away)

08 Sept

Merelinense

1 : 0

Ponte da Barca

14 May

Ponte da Barca

0 : 4

Alianca de Gandra

07 May

AD Limianos

2 : 0

Ponte da Barca

30 Apr

Ponte da Barca

1 : 1

SC Mirandela

23 Apr

Trofense

3 : 1

Ponte da Barca

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Aljustrelense 3

Vasco de Gama de Sines 2

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Vizela 3

Pedras Rubras 0

TBD -

GD Fontinhas -

Vasco de Gama de Sines -

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

TBD -

Benfica -

Leca -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Mortagua FC 4

Anadia 2

TBD -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintra 1

GS Loures 0

Trofense 1

Amarante FC 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

CDC Montalegre 1

Cerveira 0

TBD -

Marinhense -

Coutada 2

Fayal 0

Marinhense 0

Fatima 1

Condeixa 1

Oliveira Hospital 0

TBD -

SC Lusitania -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

AD Portomosense 3

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2

Sacavenense 0

Alverca 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Louletano 1

Ferreiras 0

Vila Cortez 0

Figueirense 3

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Amora 2

SC Lusitania 1

TBD -

Sao Joao de Ver -

Sporting Ideal -

TBD -

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Sanjoanense 3

SC Espinho 2

Castro Daire 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Carcao 2

GD Prado 1

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Electrico FC -

TBD -

Rebordosa 0

Arouca 5

Sao Martinho 3

Porto da Cruz 0

Ponte da Barca 0

Merelinense 1

Lusitania FC 1

Paredes 0

TBD -

Covilha -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Lusitano FCV 3

Anca 2

TBD -

Academica -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Penedo Gordo 2

Praia Milfontes 0

TBD -

Fabril do Barreiro -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Mafra -

U. Madeira 1

SC Vila Real 0

Rebordelo 0

AD Fafe 3

CD Rabo Peixe 1

Montijo 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Leiria 5

FC Crato 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

Real SC 4

Berco 3

Pevidem 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Tondela -

SC Mirandela 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Chaves -

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Lusitano GC 0

TBD -

Pevidem -

TBD -

BSAD -

Pero Pinheiro 4

1º Dezembro 3

Aguias do Moradal 2

Vitoria Sernache 4

Moncarapachense 3

Juv. Evora 2

Oleiros 1

Sertanense 2

Santarem 3

Uniao Almeirim 2

TBD -

SC Farense -

TBD -

Aves -

Maria de Fonte 3

GD Braganca 0

Vila Pouca 1

Pedras Salgadas 3

Agueda 5

Ferreira de Aves 0

Sporting Ideal 0

Oriental 2

Gondomar 3

Leca 1

TBD -

Valadares Gaia FC -

Canelas 2010 3

Valadares Gaia FC 1

TBD -

Anca -

Coimbroes 4

Regua 1

TBD -

GD Prado -

TBD -

FC Porto -

Aguias do Moradal -

TBD -

Sao Roque 0

Torreense 1

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

GD Alcochetense 5

Velense 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Atletico Arcos -

TBD -

Fabril do Barreiro 0

SC Praiense 4

AD Oliveirense 2

FC Vilarinho 0

Camara de Lobos 0

FC Felgueiras 4

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Caldas SC 5

Vila Velha 0

TBD -

Varzim -

Pinhalnovense 3

GD Fontinhas 1

TBD -

Estoril -

GS Loures -

TBD -

Lusitano VRSA -

SB Castelo Branco 7

Electrico FC 0

Armacenenses 0

Olhanense 1

GD Coruchense -

TBD -

Montijo -

Anadia -

TBD -

GD Coruchense 0

Sintrense 1

Beira Mar 6

Pampilhosense 0

Manteigas 1

Bustelo 3

TBD -

Maritimo -

1/64-finals

Aljustrelense 0

Casa Pia 2

Vizela 6

GD Fontinhas 1

Vasco de Gama de Sines 0

Cova De Piedade 4

TBD -

Benfica -

Leca 1

Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Mortagua FC 2

Penafiel 3

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintra 2

Amarante FC 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

CDC Montalegre 0

Marinhense 1

Coutada 0

Fatima 4

Condeixa 1

SC Lusitania 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

AD Portomosense 0

Alverca 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Louletano 2

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Amora 2

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Sporting Ideal 0

Sanjoanense 1

SC Espinho 2

Nacional 0

Carcao 0

Vilafranquense 2

Electrico FC 1

Arouca 6

Sao Martinho 0

Merelinense 1

Lusitania FC 4

Covilha 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Lusitano FCV 0

Academica 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Penedo Gordo 0

Fabril do Barreiro 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Vila Pouca 0

Mafra 4

U. Madeira 1

AD Fafe 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Academico Viseu 1

Leiria 0

Real SC 1

Berco 1

Feirense 3

TBD -

Tondela -

SC Mirandela 1

Chaves 2

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Pevidem 3

TBD -

BSAD -

Pero Pinheiro 0

Vitoria Sernache 1

Moncarapachense 0

Sertanense 1

Santarem 1

SC Farense 2

TBD -

Aves -

Maria de Fonte 1

Pedras Salgadas 5

Agueda 4

Oriental 1

Gondomar 0

Valadares Gaia FC 1

Canelas 2010 4

Anca 0

Coimbroes 3

GD Prado 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

Aguias do Moradal 1

Torreense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

GD Alcochetense 0

Leixoes 4

Atletico Arcos 0

SC Praiense 2

AD Oliveirense 2

FC Felgueiras 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Caldas SC 0

Varzim 1

Pinhalnovense 1

Estoril 2

GS Loures 3

Lusitano VRSA 2

SB Castelo Branco 3

Olhanense 2

GD Coruchense 0

Montijo 4

Anadia 2

Sintrense 1

Beira Mar 2

Bustelo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

1/32-finals

Casa Pia 1

Vizela 3

Cova De Piedade 0

Benfica 4

Leca 1

Braga 3

Penafiel 0

Gil Vicente 2

Sintra 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Marinhense 1

Fatima 0

Condeixa 0

Rio Ave 1

Alverca 2

Sporting CP 0

Louletano 1

Pacos Ferreira 2

Amora 0

Sanjoanense 1

SC Espinho 2

Vilafranquense 1

Arouca 1

Merelinense 0

Lusitania FC 1

Famalicao 2

Academica 2

Portimonense 1

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Moreirense 3

Mafra 1

AD Fafe 0

Academico Viseu 3

Real SC 1

Feirense 3

Tondela 0

Chaves 2

Boavista 1

Pevidem 0

BSAD 2

Vitoria Sernache 0

Sertanense 1

SC Farense 5

Aves 2

Pedras Salgadas 1

Agueda 0

Valadares Gaia FC 0

Canelas 2010 1

Coimbroes 0

FC Porto 5

Aguias do Moradal 0

Vitoria Setubal 5

Leixoes 4

SC Praiense 2

AD Oliveirense 0

Santa Clara 3

Varzim 1

Estoril 0

GS Loures 4

SB Castelo Branco 2

Montijo 0

Anadia 1

Beira Mar 3

Maritimo 2

1/16-finals

Vizela 1

Benfica 2

Braga 1

Gil Vicente 0

Sintra 0

Marinhense 2

Rio Ave 1

Alverca 0

Pacos Ferreira 1

Sanjoanense 0

SC Espinho 3

Arouca 2

Famalicao 1

Academica 0

Moreirense 1

Mafra 3

Academico Viseu 1

Feirense 0

Chaves 1

BSAD 0

Sertanense 2

SC Farense 1

Pedras Salgadas 0

Canelas 2010 1

FC Porto 4

Vitoria Setubal 0

Leixoes 1

Santa Clara 4

Varzim 1

GS Loures 0

Anadia 2

Beira Mar 1

1/8-finals

Benfica 2

Braga 1

Marinhense 0

Rio Ave 2

Pacos Ferreira 3

SC Espinho 0

Famalicao 3

Mafra 0

Academico Viseu 1

Chaves 0

Sertanense 0

Canelas 2010 1

FC Porto 1

Santa Clara 0

Varzim 2

Anadia 1

Quarter-finals

Benfica 3

Rio Ave 2

Pacos Ferreira 0

Famalicao 1

Academico Viseu 1

Canelas 2010 0

FC Porto 2

Varzim 1

Semi-finals

Benfica 4

Famalicao 3

Academico Viseu 1

FC Porto 4

Final

Benfica 1

FC Porto 2

Merelinense vs Ponte da Barca

Portugal

Merelinense

Ponte da Barca

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

Ponte da Barca

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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