Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Pimenta F.
47'
47'
Pimenta F.
77'
77'
Cruz R.
AI Match Summary
Merelinense in this Taça de Portugal 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Merelinense lately — more wins on the board than Vieira.
- Merelinense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Merelinense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Merelinense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 20%
Vieira Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merelinense | Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Merelinense vs Vieira
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Merelinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Pimenta F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vieira H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Vieira Compare
Top Goalscorer Cruz R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merelinense 67 / 100
Vieira 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merelinense Vieira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Merelinense scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Vieira conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Merelinense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Merelinense VS Vieira
1 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Merelinense
(Home) 20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0 Merelinense
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0 Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0 Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1 Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1 Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0 Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0 Tirsense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1 Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1 Pedras Salgadas
05 Mar
Merelinense
3 : 0 GD Braganca
Page 1 of 4
Vieira
(Away) 21 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0 Vieira
08 Sept
Vieira
2 : 0 Pedras Salgadas
05 Aug
Dumiense
2 : 0 Vieira
09 Sept
Merelinense
3 : 1 Vieira
23 May
Vieira
1 : 1 Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0 Vieira
05 Aug
Dumiense
2 : 0 Vieira
09 Sept
Merelinense
3 : 1 Vieira
16 May
GD Braganca
1 : 0 Vieira
25 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
3 : 0 Vieira
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
Nogueirense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
SC Vila Real 2
Amora 3
Louletano 2
Regua 2
Lamego 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha -
TBD -
Meda 0
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra -
TBD -
Valenciano 0
AD Limianos 4
Sao Martinho 6
Machico 1
Lusitano FCV 2
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Uniao SC 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vale Formoso -
Anadia 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Praia Milfontes 0
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 2
UC Idanhense 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Amarante FC 6
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vila Flor -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
Alverca 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 2
Leca 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas -
TBD -
Mirandes 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 3
CDC Montalegre 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 1
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
Trofense 1
Vizela 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Praiense 3
Redondense 0
Vale Formoso 0
Pinhalnovense 5
SC Lourinhanense -
TBD -
Gafetense 0
Santa Iria 8
FC Felgueiras 9
Vila Flor 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Alcains 0
Beneditense 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
Portalegrense -
Cacadores Taipas 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Agueda 2
Trancoso 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Louletano -
Oriental 3
FC Barreirense 1
Ferreiras 0
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 2
SC Lourinhanense 1
TBD -
CDC Montalegre -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Sintrense 2
1º Dezembro 1
Cinfaes 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Lusitania FC 1
Vieira 1
Merelinense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
CD Torres Novas 0
TBD -
Uniao SC -
Valenciano -
TBD -
TBD -
Praia Milfontes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Sporting Ideal 0
Pedras Rubras 1
SC Mirandela 2
Moura AC 1
Almancilense 0
Coimbroes 0
Rio Tinto 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 6
Graciosa FC 0
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Montijo 1
Vila Silgueiros -
TBD -
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SC Angrense 3
Gafanha 2
Vila Silgueiros 0
Vilafranquense 0
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 3
Macao 2
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense 2
CD Gouveia 0
Coutada 0
Torreense 2
Chaves B 6
Vinhais 1
SC Vianense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes -
TBD -
Olhanense 0
Silves FC 1
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 6
Portalegrense 1
Fatima 0
Oleiros 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
SC Vila Real 3
Amora 8
Lamego 0
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha 2
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra 1
AD Limianos 2
Sao Martinho 1
Beira Mar 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Mirandes 2
Leiria 0
Vale Formoso 3
Anadia 3
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 0
Vilafranquense 3
Amarante FC 5
Vila Flor 0
Leca 0
Leixoes 3
Aves -
TBD -
Varzim 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 1
Academica 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Trofense 2
Penafiel 3
SC Praiense 5
Pinhalnovense 1
SC Lourinhanense 1
Santa Iria 3
FC Felgueiras 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Sertanense 3
SC Farense 3
Portalegrense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
Arouca 1
Agueda 1
Famalicao 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Louletano 1
Oriental 3
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 1
CDC Montalegre 3
Boavista -
TBD -
Oliveirense 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
Alverca 0
Sintrense 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Merelinense 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Uniao SC 4
Valenciano 5
Praia Milfontes 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 4
Rio Tinto 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 2
Montijo 0
Vila Silgueiros 0
SC Angrense 2
Gafanha 2
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Eirense 0
Torreense 3
Chaves B 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 1
Oleiros 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 6
SC Vila Real 0
Amora 3
BSAD 4
Covilha 2
AD Limianos 0
Sao Martinho 0
Moreirense 1
Tondela 2
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Vale Formoso 4
Anadia 4
Vilafranquense 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 3
Aves 3
Sacavenense 1
Portimonense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara 2
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 1
Chaves 4
Vitoria Setubal 2
Armacenenses 1
AD Fafe 0
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 2
Santa Iria 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Braga 1
Benfica 3
Sertanense 0
SC Farense 1
Arouca 3
Agueda 1
Louletano 0
Oriental 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Boavista 4
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
SC Espinho 4
U. Madeira 2
Uniao SC 0
Valenciano 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 7
Feirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 0
Maritimo 1
Casa Pia 2
SC Angrense 1
Gafanha 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Rio Ave 5
Torreense 1
Chaves B 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 4
Nacional 3
GS Loures 1
Sporting CP 2
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
BSAD 0
Covilha 0
Moreirense 3
Tondela 7
Vale Formoso 0
Anadia 0
Leixoes 1
Aves 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Santa Clara 1
Chaves 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 1
Braga 2
Benfica 2
Arouca 1
Agueda 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Boavista 4
SC Espinho 0
U. Madeira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 3
Maritimo 0
Casa Pia 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 7
Silves FC 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Moreirense 3
Tondela 2
Leixoes 3
Aves 2
Chaves 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 1
Benfica 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Feirense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Sporting CP 5
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Leixoes 1
Aves 1
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Feirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 4
Braga 1
Benfica 2
Sporting CP 2
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 3
