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Merida UD vs Cacereno II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Merida UD and Cacereno II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merida UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Merida UD
20%
Draws
22%
Cacereno II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cacereno II haven't matched Merida UD's recent run of results.
  • Merida UD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 20%
Cacereno II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merida UD Cacereno II
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 23 3
Draws 7 10
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 1.97 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.61 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Cacereno II
4:0
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno II vs Merida UD
2:2
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Cacereno II
3:1
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno II vs Merida UD
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merida UD 85 / 100
Cacereno II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merida UD Cacereno II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merida UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merida UD scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Cacereno II let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merida UD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merida UD VS Cacereno II
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merida UD

(Home)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
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Cacereno II

(Away)
11 May
Pueblonuevo
3 : 0
Cacereno II
04 May
Cacereno II
1 : 4
CD Coria
01 May
Castuera
5 : 1
Cacereno II
27 Apr
Cacereno II
2 : 0
Fuente de Cantos
20 Apr
Jerez CF
3 : 0
Cacereno II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)