Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merignac W vs Thonon Evian W

France France

Division 2 Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2021/2022 game between Merignac W and Thonon Evian W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thonon Evian W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Merignac W
15%
Draws
49%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thonon Evian W come out ahead of Merignac W on wins alone.
  • Thonon Evian W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Merignac W Clean Sheet 20%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merignac W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.36 1.72
Goals Conceded 3.95 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Merignac W vs Thonon Evian W
0:4
Sep 11, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Merignac W
2:0
Apr 25, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Merignac W
0:0
Dec 6, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Merignac W vs Thonon Evian W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merignac W 10 / 100
Thonon Evian W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merignac W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Thonon Evian W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Merignac W's goal record stands at 23% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thonon Evian W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merignac W

(Home)
09 Sept
Bordeaux W
11 : 0
Merignac W
26 Aug
Bordeaux W
10 : 0
Merignac W
22 May
Marseille W
7 : 0
Merignac W
08 May
Merignac W
3 : 1
Yzeure Allier W
24 Apr
Albi-Marssac W
7 : 0
Merignac W
Page 1 of 5

Thonon Evian W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Havre W 22 15 6 1 48:20 51
2 Nantes W 22 15 5 2 51:12 50
3 Lille W 22 13 3 6 52:23 42
4 Metz W 22 12 2 8 40:27 38
5 Strasbourg W 22 11 4 7 29:18 37
6 Lens W 22 10 5 7 40:39 35
7 Saint-Malo W 22 7 5 10 23:29 26
8 La Roche W 22 7 4 11 27:33 25
9 Orleans W 22 7 4 11 28:35 25
10 Brest W 22 6 4 12 25:45 22
11 Saint-Maur W 22 3 4 15 19:45 13
12 Vendenheim W 22 1 4 17 12:68 7
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez AF W 20 16 3 1 47:16 51
2 Nice W 20 13 1 6 56:30 40
3 Montauban W 20 11 3 6 51:37 36
4 Yzeure Allier W 20 11 2 7 32:22 35
5 Thonon Evian W 20 9 5 6 31:24 32
6 Grenoble W 20 8 4 8 24:26 28
7 Marseille W 20 8 3 9 38:29 27
8 Albi-Marssac W 20 7 1 12 28:38 22
9 Le Puy W 20 7 1 12 26:39 22
10 Nimes W 20 4 4 12 23:37 16
11 Merignac W 20 2 1 17 8:66 7
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2022/2023 (Main)