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Stadium Background

Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Merikh Kosti and Ahli Khartoum finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Merikh Kosti
17%
Draws
13%
Ahli Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Merikh Kosti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahli Khartoum come out ahead of Merikh Kosti on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Merikh Kosti taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 18%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merikh Kosti Ahli Khartoum
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 16
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti
1:5
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Oct 3, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum
3:2
Aug 18, 2018 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti
0:0
Sep 13, 2017 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merikh Kosti 67 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merikh Kosti Ahli Khartoum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Khartoum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 40 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ahli Khartoum registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Merikh Kosti found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Merikh Kosti VS Ahli Khartoum
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merikh Kosti

(Home)
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
10 Feb
Merikh Kosti
2 : 3
Madani
03 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0
Merikh Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6

Ahli Khartoum

(Away)
13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1
Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
03 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0
Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4
Madani
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)