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Merikh Nyala vs Ahli Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merikh Nyala play Ahli Khartoum in the Premier League 2018. Ahli Khartoum are favorites here. Recently, Merikh Nyala averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Ahli Khartoum averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Merikh Nyala won 2, Ahli Khartoum won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 14, 2018 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Merikh Nyala and 1.44 for Ahli Khartoum. This points to a Ahli Khartoum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Merikh Nyala
25%
Draws
59%
Ahli Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ahli Khartoum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Merikh Nyala picked up more points recently compared to Ahli Khartoum.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Merikh Nyala Clean Sheet 16%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merikh Nyala Ahli Khartoum
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Ahli Khartoum
0:2
Jul 27, 2018 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Nyala
1:1
Apr 27, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Ahli Khartoum
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Nyala
0:2
Oct 16, 2017 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Nyala
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merikh Nyala 18 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merikh Nyala Ahli Khartoum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahli Khartoum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ahli Khartoum & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merikh Nyala attacking → ← attacking Ahli Khartoum

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merikh Nyala scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ahli Khartoum let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Merikh Nyala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ahli Khartoum lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alamal SC Atbara1896322:1233
2Wad Hashim Sennar1878322:1929
3Al Shorta1877423:1728
4Hay Al Wadi1876517:1427
5Al Hilal Kadougli1868416:1226
6Ahli Khartoum1868419:1626
7El-Ahli Atbara1866620:2224
8Kober1865722:2123
9Merikh Kosti1854916:2319
10Merikh Nyala18121513:345