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Merilappi United W vs VIFK Vaasa W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2013
Merilappi United W Logo

Merilappi United W

3 - 2
FT
VIFK Vaasa W Logo

VIFK Vaasa W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merilappi United W play VIFK Vaasa W in the Ykkonen Women 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Merilappi United W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. VIFK Vaasa W averaged 0.72 goals scored and 3.38 conceded. In past meetings, Merilappi United W won 1, VIFK Vaasa W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 3, 2015 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.17 for Merilappi United W and 0.61 for VIFK Vaasa W. This points to a Merilappi United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Merilappi United W
15%
Draws
33%
VIFK Vaasa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merilappi United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Merilappi United W picked up more points recently compared to VIFK Vaasa W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.17 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Merilappi United W Clean Sheet 29%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merilappi United W VIFK Vaasa W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 27
Goals Scored 1.33 0.72
Goals Conceded 3.13 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Merilappi United W vs VIFK Vaasa W
0:3
Sep 22, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Merilappi United W
5:3
Aug 29, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Merilappi United W vs VIFK Vaasa W
1:1
Jun 27, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Merilappi United W
3:2
Oct 2, 2013 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Merilappi United W vs VIFK Vaasa W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merilappi United W 53 / 100
VIFK Vaasa W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merilappi United W VIFK Vaasa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Merilappi United W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merilappi United W attacking → ← attacking VIFK Vaasa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merilappi United W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

VIFK Vaasa W let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Merilappi United W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

VIFK Vaasa W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 11
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13