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Merkuur-Juunior vs TVMK Tallinn II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2005 game between Merkuur-Juunior and TVMK Tallinn II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TVMK Tallinn II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Merkuur-Juunior
6%
Draws
90%
TVMK Tallinn II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TVMK Tallinn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TVMK Tallinn II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TVMK Tallinn II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TVMK Tallinn II have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Merkuur-Juunior Clean Sheet 20%
TVMK Tallinn II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merkuur-Juunior TVMK Tallinn II
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs TVMK Tallinn II
1:2
Aug 13, 2005 Esiliiga
TVMK Tallinn II vs Merkuur-Juunior
5:0
Jun 11, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs TVMK Tallinn II
1:3
Apr 2, 2005 Esiliiga
TVMK Tallinn II vs Merkuur-Juunior
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur-Juunior 10 / 100
TVMK Tallinn II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merkuur-Juunior TVMK Tallinn II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TVM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TVMK Tallinn II conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Merkuur-Juunior's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: TVMK Tallinn II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TVMK Tallinn II
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parnu Linnameeskond36266492:3984
2Levadia U21362646104:3182
3Lasnamae362385111:3077
4Tallinna Kalev36189985:7163
5Tervis Parnu361491373:5351
6TVMK Tallinn II361251951:8041
7Elva361062042:7136
8Lelle361112449:10034
9JK Jalgpallihaigla36942338:10031
10Merkuur-Juunior36262827:9712