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Merkuur Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga 2006 game between Merkuur Tartu and Parnu JK Vaprus finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merkuur Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Merkuur Tartu
22%
Draws
60%
Parnu JK Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Merkuur Tartu haven't matched Parnu JK Vaprus's recent run of results.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Merkuur Tartu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 20%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merkuur Tartu Parnu JK Vaprus
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2006 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
4:3
Aug 26, 2006 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Merkuur Tartu
1:4
Jun 20, 2006 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:3
Mar 21, 2006 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Merkuur Tartu
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur Tartu 20 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merkuur Tartu Parnu JK Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Merkuur Tartu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 78% of 37 recent games.

Merkuur Tartu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parnu JK Vaprus
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merkuur Tartu

(Home)
10 Aug
Merkuur Tartu
3 : 4
Rumori Calcio
22 Jun
Merkuur Tartu
6 : 4
Zenit Tallinn
29 Sept
Levadia
13 : 1
Merkuur Tartu
26 Jul
Merkuur Tartu
4 : 2
Rada Kuusalu
15 Jul
Merkuur Tartu
0 : 4
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Away)
21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
11 Jul
Parnu JK Vaprus
5 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia363042114:2994
2Narva362583106:3683
3Flora36264693:3482
4TVMK Tallinn36226883:3772
5Merkuur Tartu361391465:6848
6Tammeka Tartu361271745:5743
7Parnu JK Vaprus361042249:8634
8Lasnamae36672335:10425
9Tulevik36552629:7420
10Valga Warrior36323116:11011
Promotion - Champions League 2007/2008 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 2007/2008 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 2007/2008 (Qualification)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 2007 (Main)
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2006 (Relegation)