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Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Merreikh El-Fasher and Al-Ahly Merowe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ahly Merowe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Merreikh El-Fasher
39%
Draws
31%
Al-Ahly Merowe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe's 0.25 goals per match outpaces what Merreikh El-Fasher have produced (0).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merreikh El-Fasher Al-Ahly Merowe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2021 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:1
Jan 22, 2021 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:0
Sep 28, 2020 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Merreikh El-Fasher
1:0
Oct 1, 2019 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Ahly Merowe
2:1
Sep 25, 2018 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merreikh El-Fasher 41 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merreikh El-Fasher Al-Ahly Merowe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Ahly Merowe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Merreikh El-Fasher scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Merreikh El-Fasher remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Ahly Merowe
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30254175:1079
2Al-Merreikh30208250:1668
3Hay Al Wadi301211735:2547
4Hay al-Arab301191026:3242
5Al-Khartoum301181134:3441
6Hilal El Obied301011925:3241
7Alamal SC Atbara301091125:2939
8Al-Ahly Merowe309111024:2838
9Hilal El-Fasher301081235:4138
10Hilal Alsahil301051527:3335
11Al Shorta308111126:3635
12Ahli Shendi30971421:2734
13Tuti30891324:3933
14Ahli Khartoum307111217:2832
15Al Hilal Kadougli305101522:3925
16Merreikh El-Fasher30661815:3224