Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mersin vs Sariyer

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kocak A.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Harlak A.
90' Event
Turkmen A.

AI Match Summary

Sariyer in this 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sariyer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Mersin
15%
Draws
78%
Sariyer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Sariyer have won more games recently than Mersin.
  • Sariyer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mersin Clean Sheet 20%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersin Sariyer
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 28 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 2. Lig Red Group
Mersin vs Sariyer
1:2
Dec 3, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Sariyer vs Mersin
6:1
Mar 19, 2005 1. Lig
Mersin vs Sariyer
1:0
Oct 16, 2004 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Mersin
3:4
Nov 15, 1998 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Mersin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mersin Compare

Top Goalscorer Turkmen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sariyer Compare

Top Goalscorer Harlak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersin 10 / 100
Sariyer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersin Sariyer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Mersin scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Sariyer let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Mersin remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sariyer
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersin

(Home)
05 May
Mersin
0 : 7
Sancaktepe
29 Apr
Inegolspor
5 : 0
Mersin
22 Apr
Mersin
1 : 2
Sariyer
14 Apr
Korfez SK
2 : 2
Mersin
08 Apr
Mersin
0 : 8
Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6

Sariyer

(Away)
09 Aug
Sariyer
2 : 0
Muglaspor
02 May
Bodrumspor
0 : 1
Sariyer
26 Apr
Sariyer
1 : 0
Erokspor
19 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
3 : 1
Sariyer
11 Apr
Sariyer
4 : 0
Hatayspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 34 23 7 4 63:15 76
2 Menemenspor 34 22 8 4 68:26 74
3 Afyonspor 34 21 7 6 62:31 70
4 Sivas Dort 34 19 10 5 57:29 67
5 Keciorengucu 34 19 7 8 77:41 64
6 Sancaktepe 34 16 11 7 58:32 59
7 Inegolspor 34 17 8 9 53:41 59
8 Sariyer 34 13 5 16 44:45 44
9 Tokatspor 34 11 10 13 37:45 43
10 Etimesgut 34 11 9 14 44:47 42
11 Kastamonuspor 34 12 4 18 46:49 40
12 Eyupspor 34 11 6 17 52:62 39
13 Tuzlaspor 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
14 Bodrumspor 34 10 8 16 39:53 38
15 Amedspor 34 10 10 14 37:41 37
16 Bucaspor 34 10 9 15 51:60 36
17 Korfez SK 34 4 4 26 30:78 13
18 Mersin 34 1 1 32 19:133 -20
Promotion - 1. Lig 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)