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Mersin vs Tuzlaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Karabulut H.
17' Event
Yilmaz M.
42' Event
Karabulut H.

AI Match Summary

Tuzlaspor in this 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuzlaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Mersin
35%
Draws
57%
Tuzlaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuzlaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tuzlaspor lately — more wins on the board than Mersin.
  • Win probability leans Tuzlaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mersin Clean Sheet 20%
Tuzlaspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersin Tuzlaspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 10
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 2. Lig Red Group
Mersin vs Tuzlaspor
0:5
Oct 21, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Tuzlaspor vs Mersin
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mersin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Tuzlaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Karabulut H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersin 10 / 100
Tuzlaspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersin Tuzlaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Tuzlaspor let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Mersin found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Mersin stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuzlaspor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersin

(Home)
05 May
Mersin
0 : 7
Sancaktepe
29 Apr
Inegolspor
5 : 0
Mersin
22 Apr
Mersin
1 : 2
Sariyer
14 Apr
Korfez SK
2 : 2
Mersin
08 Apr
Mersin
0 : 8
Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6

Tuzlaspor

(Away)
11 May
Tuzlaspor
1 : 1
Genclerbirligi
05 May
Sakaryaspor
0 : 2
Tuzlaspor
28 Apr
Tuzlaspor
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
20 Apr
Bandirmaspor
1 : 1
Tuzlaspor
14 Apr
Tuzlaspor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 34 23 7 4 63:15 76
2 Menemenspor 34 22 8 4 68:26 74
3 Afyonspor 34 21 7 6 62:31 70
4 Sivas Dort 34 19 10 5 57:29 67
5 Keciorengucu 34 19 7 8 77:41 64
6 Sancaktepe 34 16 11 7 58:32 59
7 Inegolspor 34 17 8 9 53:41 59
8 Sariyer 34 13 5 16 44:45 44
9 Tokatspor 34 11 10 13 37:45 43
10 Etimesgut 34 11 9 14 44:47 42
11 Kastamonuspor 34 12 4 18 46:49 40
12 Eyupspor 34 11 6 17 52:62 39
13 Tuzlaspor 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
14 Bodrumspor 34 10 8 16 39:53 38
15 Amedspor 34 10 10 14 37:41 37
16 Bucaspor 34 10 9 15 51:60 36
17 Korfez SK 34 4 4 26 30:78 13
18 Mersin 34 1 1 32 19:133 -20
Promotion - 1. Lig 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)