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Mersrags vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Latvian Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-10. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mersrags
20%
Draws
46%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mersrags haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans RFS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • RFS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mersrags Clean Sheet 14%
RFS Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersrags RFS
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 2 22
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2012 Latvian Cup
Mersrags vs RFS
0:10

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersrags 10 / 100
RFS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersrags RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.

Mersrags's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

RFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Mersrags remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS RFS
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersrags

(Home)
09 Jul
Mersrags
0 : 8
Caramba
02 Jul
DSVK Traktors
2 : 3
Mersrags
30 Jun
Mersrags
0 : 10
RFS
08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1
Brali
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0
Mersrags

RFS

(Away)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
FK Alberts 2
Ludzas SK 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
RFS -
TBD -
Brali 1
Mersrags 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Valka 2
Rinuzi 4
FK Ilukste -
TBD -
TBD -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Saldus 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Rezekne 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
RFS 10
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Valmiera 1
Rinuzi 2
FK Ilukste 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
TBD -
Gulbene -
Skonto -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 0
Tukums 2000 1
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 3
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FC Jurmala 7
FK Metta 1
RFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Daugava Riga 6
Rinuzi 0
FK Ilukste 1
Gulbene 4
Skonto 6
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FC Jurmala 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
FK Daugava Riga 7
Gulbene 0
Skonto 1
FK Liepaja 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
FK Liepaja 2
Final
Ventspils 2
FK Liepaja 1