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Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Trialist B
33' Event
Simpson K.
90' Event
Burns J.

AI Match Summary

Merthyr Town in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Merthyr Town
35%
Draws
32%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Merthyr Town haven't matched Briton Ferry's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 20%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Briton Ferry
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry
3:0
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Briton Ferry vs Merthyr Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist B
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simpson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Briton Ferry Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 32 / 100
Briton Ferry 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Briton Ferry conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Merthyr Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Briton Ferry
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
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Briton Ferry

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
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