Sport Picks

Merthyr Town vs Cinderford Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England

FA Trophy 2019/2020

Merthyr Town

Tue, Nov 5, 2019

4 - 5

07:45 PM

Cinderford Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cinderford Town in this FA Trophy 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Merthyr Town

20%

Draws

Cinderford Town

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence

Merthyr Town haven't matched Cinderford Town's recent run of results.
Merthyr Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Cinderford Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Merthyr Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 18%

Cinderford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merthyr Town	Cinderford Town
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	8	3
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.56	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.72	2.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2019 FA Trophy

Merthyr Town vs Cinderford Town

4:5

Oct 29, 2019 FA Trophy

Cinderford Town vs Merthyr Town

2:2

Dec 26, 2016 Southern Premier League

Merthyr Town vs Cinderford Town

2:0

Oct 29, 2016 FA Trophy

Merthyr Town vs Cinderford Town

6:1

Aug 29, 2016 Southern Premier League

Cinderford Town vs Merthyr Town

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 85 / 100

Cinderford Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merthyr Town Cinderford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Cinderford Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Cinderford Town's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS -

2 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)

26 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 2

Marine

22 Sept

Truro

2 : 0

Merthyr Town

19 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Truro

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

Page 1 of 7

Cinderford Town

(Away)

05 Jul

Cinderford Town

0 : 4

Trethomas Bluebirds

07 Sept

Falmouth Town

3 : 0

Cinderford Town

27 Jul

Cinderford Town

0 : 2

Highworth

20 Jul

Cinderford Town

1 : 2

Aberystwyth

13 Sept

Cinderford Town

0 : 1

Thatcham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Evesham -

TBD -

Dereham 1

Halesowen 2

Belper Town -

TBD -

Stamford 5

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Grantham Town -

TBD -

Rushall -

Carlton Town 3

Neots 1

Biggleswade FC 2

Bedford 3

TBD -

Matlock -

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Atherton Collieries -

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Morpeth -

TBD -

Cleethorpes 1

Frickley 0

TBD -

Mossley AFC -

Sutton Coldfield Town -

TBD -

Yaxley -

TBD -

Stafford -

Stratford -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Whitby -

TBD -

Worksop -

TBD -

Kendal -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

South Shields -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

TBD -

Banbury -

Bromsgrove -

TBD -

Barwell -

Redditch -

TBD -

Histon -

TBD -

Corby -

Daventry 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Kempston 0

FC Wisbech Town 1

Ramsbottom Utd -

TBD -

Colne 2

Marske United 1

Buxton -

TBD -

Hyde -

Trafford -

TBD -

Runcorn Linnets 1

Marine 0

Pontefract Collieries -

TBD -

Glossop North End -

Clitheroe 2

Sheffield FC 1

TBD -

Prescot Cables -

Pickering Town -

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Mickleover -

Nantwich -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Newcastle Town -

TBD -

Leek Town -

Chasetown 5

Spalding United 1

TBD -

Coleshill Town -

City Of Liverpool 2

Tadcaster Albion 7

TBD -

Brighouse Town -

Droylsden -

TBD -

Workington -

Tamworth -

TBD -

Leiston -

Dunston -

TBD -

Ossett United 1

Widnes FC 0

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Nuneaton -

Lancaster -

TBD -

Witton Albion -

Barking -

TBD -

Guernsey FC -

TBD -

Margate -

Sittingbourne -

TBD -

South Park -

Whyteleafe -

TBD -

Tooting & Mitcham -

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Chipstead -

TBD -

Romania -

Ashford Town -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 1

Canvey Island 4

Yate -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Mangotsfield 1

Slimbridge 2

TBD -

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Brightlingsea -

TBD -

Royston Town -

Ramsgate 2

Haywards Heath 3

Bracknell Town 2

Coggeshall Town 1

Aylesbury United -

TBD -

Sevenoaks -

Uxbridge -

TBD -

Northwood -

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Cheshunt -

TBD -

East Thurrock Utd -

Great Wakering -

TBD -

Westfield -

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Hartley Wintney -

Brentwood -

TBD -

Basildon -

TBD -

Chesham -

Hornchurch -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

TBD -

Herne Bay -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

East Grinstead Town -

TBD -

Aveley -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea -

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Walton Casuals -

VCD Athletic -

TBD -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Harlow 2

Hanwell Town 5

TBD -

AFC Dunstable -

Hythe -

TBD -

Hastings -

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Romford -

TBD -

Hendon -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Merstham -

Winchester City -

TBD -

Thame United 3

Kidlington 2

Frome Town -

TBD -

Bideford -

Marlow -

TBD -

Faversham 1

Chertsey Town 3

Sholing -

TBD -

Bristol Manor Farm 7

Moneyfields 1

Ashford United -

TBD -

FC Witham Town -

Hullbridge 2

Barton 4

Chichester City 2

Three Bridges 1

Truro -

TBD -

Blackfield & Langley -

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals -

Maldon & Tiptree 5

Felixstowe & Walton 0

TBD -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Lewes -

Salisbury -

TBD -

Dorchester -

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Phoenix Sports -

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Hayes & Yeading -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Soham -

TBD -

Lincoln Utd. 1

Bury Town 3

Hitchin -

TBD -

Grays -

TBD -

Bedfont Sports -

Paulton Rovers -

TBD -

Willand Rovers -

Didcot -

TBD -

Larkhall -

Stortford -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Barnstaple Town -

TBD -

Thatcham -

Gosport Borough -

TBD -

Farnborough -

Melksham -

TBD -

Wantage -

Cirencester -

TBD -

Basingstoke 4

North Leigh 3

Highworth -

TBD -

Cinderford Town -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

Staines -

TBD -

Heybridge 4

Hertford Town 1

TBD -

Potters -

Cambridge City -

TBD -

Market Drayton -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Chalfont St Peter 0

Whitstable Town 1

TBD -

Ware -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Tilbury -

TBD -

Waltham Abbey -

Biggleswade Town -

TBD -

Bedworth United -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Quarter-finals

Evesham 1

Halesowen 4

Belper Town 0

Stamford 3

Grantham Town -

TBD -

Rushall -

Carlton Town 3

Bedford 2

TBD -

Matlock -

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Atherton Collieries -

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Morpeth -

TBD -

Cleethorpes -

Mossley AFC -

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Yaxley 1

TBD -

Stafford -

Stratford -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Whitby -

TBD -

Worksop 2

Kendal 1

Stalybridge -

TBD -

South Shields -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

TBD -

Banbury -

Bromsgrove -

TBD -

Barwell -

Redditch -

TBD -

Histon 1

Corby 4

Kidsgrove Athletic 1

FC Wisbech Town 0

Ramsbottom Utd 1

Colne 3

Buxton -

TBD -

Hyde -

Trafford 0

Runcorn Linnets 3

Pontefract Collieries 2

Glossop North End 0

Clitheroe 0

Prescot Cables 3

Pickering Town 4

Stocksbridge 2

Radcliffe -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Mickleover -

Nantwich -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Newcastle Town 2

Leek Town 5

Chasetown 3

Coleshill Town 0

Tadcaster Albion -

Brighouse Town -

Droylsden 2

Workington 4

Tamworth -

TBD -

Leiston -

Dunston 3

Ossett United 2

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Nuneaton -

Lancaster -

TBD -

Witton Albion -

Barking 2

Guernsey FC 1

TBD -

Margate -

Sittingbourne 1

South Park 0

Whyteleafe 1

Tooting & Mitcham 3

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Chipstead 2

Romania 1

Ashford Town 2

Canvey Island 7

Yate -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Slimbridge 0

AFC Totton 1

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Brightlingsea -

TBD -

Royston Town -

Haywards Heath 2

Bracknell Town 1

Aylesbury United 6

Sevenoaks 4

Uxbridge 4

Northwood 1

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Cheshunt -

TBD -

East Thurrock Utd -

Great Wakering 3

Westfield 5

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Hartley Wintney -

Brentwood 2

Basildon 3

TBD -

Chesham -

Hornchurch -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town 5

Herne Bay 0

Wimborne -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

East Grinstead Town 0

Aveley 5

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea -

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Walton Casuals -

VCD Athletic 1

Sudbury 4

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Hanwell Town 2

AFC Dunstable 4

Hythe 1

Hastings 2

Whitehawk 2

Romford 1

TBD -

Hendon -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Merstham -

Winchester City 6

Thame United 8

Frome Town 2

Bideford 1

Marlow 1

Chertsey Town 0

Sholing 2

Bristol Manor Farm 1

Ashford United 4

FC Witham Town 2

Barton 4

Chichester City 2

Truro -

TBD -

Blackfield & Langley -

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals -

Maldon & Tiptree 5

Cray Valley 2

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Lewes -

Salisbury -

TBD -

Dorchester -

Burgess Hill 0

Phoenix Sports 2

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Hayes & Yeading -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Soham 3

Bury Town 0

Hitchin -

TBD -

Grays 0

Bedfont Sports 1

Paulton Rovers -

Willand Rovers -

Didcot 0

Larkhall 2

Stortford -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Barnstaple Town 1

Thatcham 3

Gosport Borough -

TBD -

Farnborough -

Melksham 2

Wantage 0

Cirencester 2

Basingstoke 3

Highworth 2

Cinderford Town 3

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

Staines 0

Heybridge 2

TBD -

Potters -

Cambridge City 2

Market Drayton 1

TBD -

Needham Market -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 2

Ware 3

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Tilbury 6

Waltham Abbey 2

Biggleswade Town -

TBD -

Bedworth United 3

Ilkeston 1

Semi-finals

Halesowen 5

Stamford 2

Grantham Town 5

Rushall 3

Carlton Town 1

Matlock 2

Warrington Town 0

Ashton United 1

Atherton Collieries 3

Scarborough Athletic 2

Morpeth 6

Cleethorpes 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Stafford 1

Stratford 1

Hednesford 2

Peterborough Sports 1

Alvechurch 0

Whitby 4

Worksop 1

Stalybridge 0

South Shields 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Banbury 1

Bromsgrove 2

Barwell 7

Redditch 4

Corby 2

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

Colne 1

Buxton 3

Hyde 2

Runcorn Linnets 5

Pontefract Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 3

Pickering Town 0

Radcliffe 0

United of Manchester 2

Basford Utd. 3

Mickleover 0

Nantwich 2

Bamber Bridge 1

Lowestoft 2

Coalville Town 4

Leek Town 2

Chasetown 0

Tadcaster Albion 0

Workington 1

Tamworth 4

Leiston 0

Dunston 0

Gainsborough 4

Stourbridge 2

Nuneaton 1

Lancaster 1

Witton Albion 0

Barking 0

Margate 2

Sittingbourne 0

Tooting & Mitcham 1

Haringey Borough 3

Horsham FC 0

Chipstead 4

Canvey Island 5

Yate 7

Tiverton 6

AFC Totton 3

Weston-super-Mare 2

Brightlingsea 1

Royston Town 2

Haywards Heath 3

Aylesbury United 1

Uxbridge 1

Bognor Regis 3

Cheshunt 1

East Thurrock Utd 2

Westfield 1

Beaconsfield Town 0

Poole Town 0

Hartley Wintney 1

Basildon 5

Chesham 3

Hornchurch 3

Berkhamsted Town 1

Wimborne 3

Taunton Town 6

Aveley 3

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Worthing FC 2

Walton Casuals 1

Sudbury 2

Harrow Borough 0

AFC Dunstable 0

Hastings 4

Whitehawk 4

Hendon 1

Carshalton 3

Merstham 1

Thame United 1

Frome Town 2

Marlow 0

Sholing 2

Ashford United 1

Barton 2

Truro 2

Blackfield & Langley 4

Kingstonian 4

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Maldon & Tiptree 3

Cray Wanderers 0

Folkestone 2

Lewes 0

Salisbury 6

Dorchester 3

Phoenix Sports 3

Kings Langley 5

Wingate & Finchley 2

Hayes & Yeading 3

St Ives Town 0

Soham 3

Hitchin 2

Bedfont Sports 3

Paulton Rovers 4

Larkhall 2

Stortford 3

Enfield Town 5

Swindon Supermarine 1

Thatcham 4

Gosport Borough 3

Farnborough 1

Melksham 1

Basingstoke 0

Cinderford Town 7

Merthyr Town 6

Heybridge 1

Potters 2

Cambridge City 0

Needham Market 3

Leatherhead 3

Ware 0

Metropolitan Police 4

Tilbury 3

Biggleswade Town 2

Bedworth United 1

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Halesowen 2

Grantham Town 1

Matlock 1

Ashton United 0

Atherton Collieries 2

Morpeth 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

Hednesford 5

Peterborough Sports 2

Whitby 0

South Shields 4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Barwell 5

Redditch 6

Colne 3

Buxton 1

Runcorn Linnets 3

Prescot Cables 2

United of Manchester 3

Basford Utd. 1

Nantwich 0

Coalville Town 1

Leek Town 1

Workington 3

Tamworth 3

Gainsborough 5

Stourbridge 4

Lancaster 3

Margate 0

Tooting & Mitcham 4

Haringey Borough 2

Canvey Island 1

Yate 6

AFC Totton 3

Royston Town 7

Haywards Heath 0

Bognor Regis 3

East Thurrock Utd 1

Westfield 2

Hartley Wintney 3

Basildon 1

Hornchurch 6

Taunton Town 4

Aveley 5

Worthing FC 1

Sudbury 4

Hastings 4

Whitehawk 3

Carshalton 5

Frome Town 3

Sholing 2

Barton 1

Blackfield & Langley 0

Kingstonian 3

Maldon & Tiptree 4

Folkestone 3

Salisbury 2

Kings Langley 1

Hayes & Yeading 4

Soham 2

Bedfont Sports 0

Paulton Rovers 5

Enfield Town 5

Thatcham 0

Gosport Borough 4

Melksham 2

Cinderford Town 1

Potters 0

Needham Market 1

Leatherhead 2

Metropolitan Police 2

Biggleswade Town 3

Merthyr Town vs Cinderford Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England

Merthyr Town

Cinderford Town

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

Cinderford Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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