Sport Picks

Merthyr Town vs Cribbs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup 2024/2025

Merthyr Town

3 - 2

Cribbs

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Merthyr Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Merthyr Town

20%

Draws

44%

Cribbs

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cribbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Merthyr Town carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Merthyr Town a 36% chance of winning this.
Merthyr Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Merthyr Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 20%

Cribbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merthyr Town	Cribbs
Matches Played	30	12
Wins	9	5
Draws	7	1
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 FA Cup

Merthyr Town vs Cribbs

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 58 / 100

Cribbs 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merthyr Town Cribbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cribbs let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Merthyr Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS -

2.13 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)

26 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 2

Marine

22 Sept

Truro

2 : 0

Merthyr Town

19 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Truro

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

Page 1 of 6

Cribbs

(Away)

31 Aug

Merthyr Town

3 : 2

Cribbs

22 Jul

Cribbs

0 : 3

Taunton Town

27 Oct

Frome Town

1 : 0

Cribbs

07 Oct

Didcot

1 : 2

Cribbs

23 Sept

Cribbs

4 : 3

Bashley

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Rushall -

TBD -

Sheffield FC 5

Pontefract Collieries 0

Mickleover 5

Coleshill Town 0

Anstey Nomads 3

Alvechurch 1

Aveley -

TBD -

Royston Town 4

Bedford 1

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Tamworth -

TBD -

Tadcaster Albion 0

Macclesfield 3

TBD -

South Shields -

Crook Town 2

Ashington 1

Witton Albion 3

City Of Liverpool 2

Oldham -

TBD -

Halifax -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Truro -

TBD -

Brackley -

Ramsgate 3

Folkestone 1

Broadbridge Heath 3

Faversham 1

Newcastle Benfield 2

Prescot Cables 1

Whitchurch Alport 2

Wythenshawe Town 3

Farsley -

TBD -

Newcastle Blue Star 2

Hallam 3

Harpenden Town 2

St Ives Town 5

Hitchin 0

Berkhamsted Town 2

Kettering 2

Stafford 1

Malvern Town 0

Cleethorpes 1

Altrincham -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Bamber Bridge 2

Newton Aycliffe 3

Warrington Rylands 4

Thackley 0

Birtley Town 1

Dunston 5

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Stockton 1

Widnes FC 0

TBD -

Marine -

Chester -

TBD -

Workington 0

Hebburn Town 1

Basildon 0

Biggleswade FC 1

AFC Dunstable 1

Sudbury 0

Canvey Island 2

Milton Keynes Irish 1

Felixstowe & Walton 5

Leverstock Green 1

TBD -

York City -

Harborough 3

Darlaston Town (1874) 2

Dudley 0

Stourbridge 5

Leamington -

TBD -

Carlton Town 1

Stamford 0

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Campion 2

Blyth Spartans 4

Garforth 0

Bury FC 2

Southport -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Hyde 4

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Lancaster 0

Barnoldswick Town 1

Stratford 2

Worksop 3

Basford Utd. 6

Sporting Khalsa 1

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Great Yarmouth Town 1

Cheshunt 2

West Didsbury & Chorlton 4

Silsden 2

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Gainsborough 2

Telford 1

Grantham Town 1

Newark and Sherwood 0

TBD -

Boston United -

Wellingborough 0

Shifnal Town 2

Redditch 3

Halesowen 2

Barton Town 0

Rugby 1

Melton Town 1

Hednesford 6

TBD -

Gateshead -

Billericay 1

Bowers & Pitsea 2

Harleston Town 2

Biggleswade Town 4

Spalding United 1

Matlock 0

TBD -

Alfreton -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Morpeth 1

AFC Emley 0

Mossley AFC 6

Whitby 5

TBD -

Chorley -

Buxton -

TBD -

Barwell 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Leek Town 2

Ashby Ivanhoe 0

Guiseley 3

Ashton United 0

1874 Northwich 3

Stocksbridge 2

Newcastle Town 2

Long Eaton 1

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Swindon Supermarine 1

Poole Town 3

Taunton Town 3

Didcot 0

Burgess Hill 2

Croydon Athletic 1

Athletic Newham FC 3

Amersham Town 4

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Aylesbury Vale 0

Bognor Regis 3

Margate 3

Hayes & Yeading 1

Horsham FC 4

Virginia Water 0

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Gorleston 1

Walthamstow FC 0

Neots 4

Barking 5

Needham Market -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Fleet Town 2

AFC Stoneham 4

TBD -

Salisbury -

Bath City -

TBD -

Merthyr Town 3

Cribbs 2

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Southend -

Sheppey United 1

Hanwell Town 7

Chertsey Town 3

Raynes Park Vale 2

Ashford United 6

Three Bridges 1

Punjab United 0

Corinthian 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Easington Sports 2

Frome Town 3

Barnstaple Town 1

Larkhall 2

Carshalton 3

Haywards Heath 1

Bracknell Town 0

South Park 1

Bideford 0

Melksham 1

Banbury 2

Dorchester 0

Brightlingsea 2

Haringey Borough 3

FC Witham Town 1

Sheringham 0

Lowestoft 6

Potters 2

Newmarket 2

Ipswich Wanderers 1

Hartpury University 0

Nailsea & Tickenham 2

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

Tiverton 0

Wimborne 3

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Willand Rovers 1

Brixham 0

Gosport Borough 4

Andover New Street 0

Gloucester City 2

Paulton Rovers 0

Enfield FC 0

Brentwood 5

Leiston 4

Waltham Abbey 1

Hornchurch -

TBD -

Hashtag 2

Stotfold 0

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Barnet -

TBD -

Tilbury 4

Brantham 3

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Belper Town 3

Bromsgrove 4

Bottesford Town 1

Loughborough Students 0

Bishops Cleeve 3

Laverstock & Ford 2

TBD -

Torquay -

Badshot Lea 1

Cray Valley 3

TBD -

Chesham -

TBD -

Yeovil -

Larkfield & New Hythe FC 1

Cray Wanderers 9

Thame United 0

Wingate & Finchley 4

Hastings 3

Redhill 1

Harefield United 2

Lewes 1

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Steyning Town 1

Merstham 2

Hanworth Villa 5

Walton & Hersham 7

TBD -

Farnborough -

Woking -

TBD -

Welling -

TBD -

Westfield 0

Chatham 2

Kingstonian 1

Chichester City 4

TBD -

Slough Town -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Tavistock 0

Winchester City 1

Hungerford 1

Yate 0

Basingstoke 1

Sholing 3

TBD -

Weymouth -

Ashford Town 0

Herne Bay 2

Hendon 3

Whitehawk 0

Maidstone -

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Lordswood 3

Binfield 1

Sittingbourne 3

Dover Ath. 2

Plymouth Parkway 4

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Westbury United 3

AFC Totton 1

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Havant & Waterlooville 3

Wallingford & Crowmarsh 0

Dartford 6

Marlow 2

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Leatherhead 3

Braintree -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Stortford 5

Cornard United 0

Hereford -

TBD -

Heanor Town 0

Ilkeston 1

Quarter-finals

Rushall 5

Sheffield FC 0

Mickleover 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Aveley 1

Royston Town 2

Enfield Town 0

Peterborough Sports 1

Tamworth -

TBD -

Macclesfield 5

South Shields 0

Crook Town 1

Witton Albion 2

Oldham -

TBD -

Halifax -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Truro 0

Brackley 2

Ramsgate 1

Broadbridge Heath 0

Newcastle Benfield 0

Wythenshawe Town 1

Farsley 3

Hallam 1

St Ives Town 5

Berkhamsted Town 0

Kettering 1

Cleethorpes 0

Altrincham -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Newton Aycliffe 2

Warrington Rylands 4

Dunston 3

Scarborough Athletic 6

Stockton 3

Marine 2

Chester 3

Hebburn Town 0

Biggleswade FC 2

AFC Dunstable 1

Canvey Island 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

TBD -

York City -

Harborough 4

Stourbridge 2

Leamington 1

Carlton Town 0

Warrington Town 1

Radcliffe 2

Blyth Spartans 0

Bury FC 3

Southport 2

Hyde 1

Curzon Ashton 6

Barnoldswick Town 0

Worksop 6

Basford Utd. 3

King’s Lynn 1

Cheshunt 0

West Didsbury & Chorlton 1

Darlington FC 2

Gainsborough 2

Grantham Town 1

TBD -

Boston United -

Shifnal Town 2

Redditch 1

Rugby 3

Hednesford 6

TBD -

Gateshead -

Bowers & Pitsea 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Spalding United 1

Alfreton 2

Spennymoor 3

Morpeth 1

Mossley AFC 0

Chorley 3

Buxton 4

Barwell 3

Kidderminster 2

Leek Town 1

Guiseley 3

1874 Northwich 0

Newcastle Town 1

Scunthorpe 6

Poole Town 2

Taunton Town 3

Burgess Hill 2

Amersham Town 3

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Bognor Regis 0

Margate 4

Horsham FC 1

Dorking Wanderers 0

Gorleston 3

Barking 2

Needham Market 0

St. Albans 3

Aldershot -

TBD -

AFC Stoneham 1

Salisbury 7

Bath City 2

Merthyr Town 1

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Southend -

Hanwell Town 0

Chertsey Town 2

Ashford United 3

Corinthian 0

TBD -

Sutton -

Eastbourne Borough 0

Boreham Wood 1

Frome Town 0

Larkhall 1

Carshalton 1

South Park 0

Melksham 4

Banbury 3

Haringey Borough 3

FC Witham Town 2

Lowestoft 5

Newmarket 2

Nailsea & Tickenham 1

Chippenham Town 6

Wimborne 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Oxford City 6

Willand Rovers 0

Gosport Borough 4

Gloucester City 2

Brentwood 3

Leiston 5

Hornchurch 2

Hashtag 1

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Barnet -

TBD -

Tilbury 0

Chelmsford 2

Bromsgrove 2

Bottesford Town 0

Bishops Cleeve 3

Torquay 0

Cray Valley 0

Chesham 2

TBD -

Yeovil -

Cray Wanderers 2

Wingate & Finchley 1

Hastings 1

Harefield United 0

Tonbridge 2

Merstham 1

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

Woking -

TBD -

Welling 0

Chatham 1

Chichester City 3

Slough Town 4

Forest Green -

TBD -

Winchester City 2

Hungerford 1

Sholing 1

Weymouth 4

Herne Bay 3

Hendon 0

Maidstone 2

Hampton & Richmond 1

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Lordswood 0

Sittingbourne 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Westbury United 3

Worthing FC 3

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Dartford 2

Leatherhead 0

Braintree -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead 0

Stortford 1

Hereford 2

Ilkeston 1

Semi-finals

Rushall 2

Anstey Nomads 1

Royston Town 0

Peterborough Sports 1

Tamworth -

TBD -

Macclesfield 6

Witton Albion 1

Oldham -

TBD -

Halifax -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Brackley 4

Ramsgate 1

Wythenshawe Town 0

Farsley 1

St Ives Town 0

Kettering 3

Altrincham -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Warrington Rylands 0

Scarborough Athletic 2

Stockton 1

Chester 2

Biggleswade FC 1

Canvey Island 0

TBD -

York City -

Harborough 1

Leamington 0

Radcliffe 2

Bury FC 3

Southport 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Worksop 1

King’s Lynn 2

Darlington FC 1

Gainsborough 2

TBD -

Boston United -

Shifnal Town 0

Hednesford 1

TBD -

Gateshead -

Biggleswade Town 0

Alfreton 6

Spennymoor 1

Chorley 0

Buxton 1

Kidderminster 3

Guiseley 1

Scunthorpe 0

Taunton Town 2

Amersham Town 1

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Margate 1

Horsham FC 3

Gorleston 4

St. Albans 2

Aldershot -

TBD -

Salisbury 1

Bath City 2

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Southend -

Chertsey Town 3

Ashford United 2

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood 2

Larkhall 1

Carshalton 3

Melksham 2

Haringey Borough 4

Lowestoft 6

Chippenham Town 1

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Oxford City 2

Gosport Borough 3

Leiston 4

Hornchurch 2

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Barnet -

TBD -

Chelmsford 2

Bromsgrove 1

Bishops Cleeve 0

Chesham 4

TBD -

Yeovil -

Cray Wanderers 3

Hastings 0

Tonbridge 2

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking -

TBD -

Chatham 0

Slough Town 3

Forest Green -

TBD -

Winchester City 2

Weymouth 5

Herne Bay 0

Maidstone 1

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Sittingbourne 0

Plymouth Parkway 3

Worthing FC 3

Dartford 1

Braintree -

TBD -

Stortford 3

Hereford 2

Final

Rushall 2

Peterborough Sports 1

Tamworth 4

Macclesfield 2

Oldham 4

Halifax 2

Hartlepool 2

Brackley 4

Farsley 1

Kettering 2

Altrincham 3

Solihull Moors 4

AFC Fylde 1

Rochdale 4

Scarborough Athletic 3

Chester 1

Biggleswade FC 1

York City 3

Harborough 1

Bury FC 0

Curzon Ashton 1

King’s Lynn 0

Gainsborough 6

Boston United 2

Hednesford 4

Gateshead 2

Alfreton 1

Spennymoor 0

Kidderminster 0

Guiseley 1

Taunton Town 1

Maidenhead 4

Horsham FC 1

Gorleston 0

Aldershot 2

Bath City 1

Eastleigh 0

Southend 1

Chertsey Town 1

Sutton 3

Boreham Wood 4

Carshalton 0

Lowestoft 1

Weston-super-Mare 3

Wealdstone 4

Gosport Borough 1

Leiston 1

Dagenham & Red. 5

Barnet 4

Chelmsford 0

Chesham 1

Yeovil 0

Cray Wanderers 0

Tonbridge 1

Woking 2

Slough Town 1

Forest Green 2

Weymouth 0

Maidstone 3

Ebbsfleet 0

Plymouth Parkway 0

Worthing FC 4

Braintree 1

Stortford 0

Merthyr Town vs Cribbs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Merthyr Town

Cribbs

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

Cribbs

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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