Sport Picks
Merthyr Town vs King’s Lynn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
29'
29'
Margetson B.
70'
70'
Thomas K.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Merthyr Town and King’s Lynn finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: King’s Lynn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and King’s Lynn come out ahead of Merthyr Town on wins alone.
- King’s Lynn are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 14%
King’s Lynn Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merthyr Town | King’s Lynn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs King’s Lynn
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs King’s Lynn
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Merthyr Town
4:0
Apr 7, 2018 Southern Premier League
King’s Lynn vs Merthyr Town
0:0
Dec 23, 2017 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs King’s Lynn
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Margetson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
King’s Lynn Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merthyr Town 15 / 100
King’s Lynn 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merthyr Town King’s Lynn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick King’s Lynn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merthyr Town found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
King’s Lynn let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Merthyr Town VS King’s Lynn
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 King’s Lynn
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 4
King’s Lynn
(Away) 24 Oct
King’s Lynn
0 : 0 Southport
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 King’s Lynn
10 Oct
King’s Lynn
1 : 0 Buxton
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5 King’s Lynn
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 King’s Lynn
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5 King’s Lynn
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2 King’s Lynn
29 Aug
Hebburn Town
4 : 2 King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 5 | King’s Lynn | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:21 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:24 | 15 |
| 21 | Telford | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:20 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:24 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:26 | 7 |
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