Sport Picks
Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield
England
National League North 2025/2026 
Match Events
42'
42'
Heathcote S.
67'
67'
Handley T.
70'
70'
Kay J.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Merthyr Town and Macclesfield finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macclesfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macclesfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Merthyr Town haven't matched Macclesfield's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 16%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merthyr Town | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Handley T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Macclesfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Kay J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edmondson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merthyr Town 30 / 100
Macclesfield 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merthyr Town Macclesfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Macclesfield has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Merthyr Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Merthyr Town VS Macclesfield
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0 Merthyr Town
28 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Swansea
21 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
18 Jul
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
28 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Swansea
21 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
18 Jul
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Forest Green
14 Jul
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Yeovil
Page 1 of 4
Macclesfield
(Away) 08 Aug
Marine
0 : 1 Macclesfield
01 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 0 United of Manchester
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1 Macclesfield
25 Jul
Altrincham
2 : 5 Macclesfield
21 Jul
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Marine
0 : 1 Macclesfield
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1 Macclesfield
25 Jul
Altrincham
2 : 5 Macclesfield
21 Jul
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Macclesfield
14 Jul
Leek Town
1 : 1 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
