Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merthyr Town vs Staines

England England

Southern League South Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Traylor I.
3' Event
Traylor I.
10' Event
Traylor I.

AI Match Summary

Merthyr Town in this Southern League South Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Merthyr Town
30%
Draws
33%
Staines
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merthyr Town lately — more wins on the board than Staines.
  • Model gives Merthyr Town a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 18%
Staines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Staines
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.88 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Merthyr Town vs Staines
9:0
Oct 13, 2018 Southern League Premier South
Staines vs Merthyr Town
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Traylor I.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Meechan T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Staines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 85 / 100
Staines 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Staines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Staines conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.50 goals per match.

Merthyr Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 7

Staines

(Away)
13 Nov
Brentwood
4 : 1
Staines
02 Nov
Staines
1 : 0
Brightlingsea
09 Oct
Staines
3 : 1
Three Bridges
29 Jul
Staines
0 : 6
Maidenhead
03 Jul
Staines
1 : 1
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weymouth 42 25 11 6 96:51 86
2 Taunton Town 42 26 7 9 89:56 85
3 Metropolitan Police 42 22 12 8 91:64 78
4 Salisbury 42 22 11 9 97:69 77
5 Poole Town 42 20 10 12 84:59 70
6 Kings Langley 42 21 6 15 65:61 69
7 Harrow Borough 42 18 9 15 97:77 63
8 Hartley Wintney 42 17 12 13 82:70 63
9 Farnborough 42 18 8 16 72:72 62
10 Chesham 42 15 14 13 54:55 59
11 Swindon Supermarine 42 16 10 16 70:59 58
12 Beaconsfield Town 42 15 13 14 65:65 58
13 Merthyr Town 42 15 9 18 68:67 54
14 Wimborne 42 15 7 20 72:75 52
15 Dorchester 42 14 10 18 67:75 52
16 Hendon 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
17 Walton Casuals 42 14 9 19 69:78 51
18 Tiverton 42 13 12 17 65:75 51
19 Gosport Borough 42 15 5 22 63:70 50
20 Basingstoke 42 14 7 21 81:82 49
21 Frome Town 42 11 4 27 45:74 37
22 Staines 42 4 0 38 40:168 12
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2018/2019 (Play Offs)