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Mertzig vs Hesperange Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hesperange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mertzig
15%
Draws
85%
Hesperange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hesperange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Hesperange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Hesperange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hesperange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mertzig Clean Sheet 20%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mertzig Hesperange
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1 0.77
Goals Conceded 3.89 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Luxembourg Cup
Mertzig vs Hesperange
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mertzig 31 / 100
Hesperange 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mertzig Hesperange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mertzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hesperange conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Hesperange registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mertzig scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Scoring Trends

Mertzig VS Hesperange
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mertzig

(Home)
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3
Alisontia Steinsel
06 Oct
Mertzig
2 : 4
Union Titus Petange
01 Oct
Mertzig
1 : 4
FC Mamer
02 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 4
Mondorf
18 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 5
Dudelange
Page 1 of 2

Hesperange

(Away)
20 Sept
Echternach
2 : 1
Hesperange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 2
Hostert 3
Luxembourg City 5
Rumelange 1
The Belval Belvaux 0
CS Sanem 0
Jeunesse Canach 2
Grevenmacher 3
FC Mamer 1
Kehlen 1
Kaerjeng 6
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondorf 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Wiltz 1
Steinfort 3
Flaxweiler/Beyren 4
CS Petange 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Union Tetange 1
Fola 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Mondercange 0
Ettelbruck 3
Hesperange 3
Mertzig 0
UNA Strassen 0
Dudelange 1
1/8-finals
Differdange 3
Luxembourg City 1
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Canach 2
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 4
Steinfort 1
Flaxweiler/Beyren 1
Union Tetange 2
Fola 2
Ettelbruck 1
Hesperange 1
Dudelange 2
Quarter-finals
Differdange 5
Jeunesse Canach 0
Grevenmacher 1
Racing Luxembourg 4
Jeunesse Esch 4
Union Tetange 1
Fola 1
Dudelange 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Jeunesse Esch 0
Dudelange 2
Final
Differdange 1
Dudelange 0