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Mervue United vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mervue United play Finn Harps in the Division 1 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mervue United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Finn Harps averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Mervue United won 2, Finn Harps won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 20, 2013 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Mervue United and 0.99 for Finn Harps. This points to a Mervue United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mervue United
29%
Draws
26%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Mervue United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Mervue United picked up more points recently compared to Finn Harps.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 23%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mervue United Finn Harps
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.43 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2013 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Mervue United
0:2
Jul 19, 2013 Division 1
Mervue United vs Finn Harps
4:0
May 17, 2013 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Mervue United
1:0
Mar 29, 2013 Division 1
Mervue United vs Finn Harps
2:2
Aug 31, 2012 Division 1
Mervue United vs Finn Harps
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mervue United Compare

Top Goalscorer Molloy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varley N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mervue United 45 / 100
Finn Harps 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mervue United Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mervue United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mervue United attacking → ← attacking Finn Harps

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mervue United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Finn Harps let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mervue United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Finn Harps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Athlone28167542:2255
2Longford28155855:3450
3Mervue United28147746:3149
4Waterford28145940:2447
5Wexford281031529:4733
6Finn Harps28871331:4231
7Cobh Ramblers28871342:5431
8Salthill28451923:5417