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Mes Kerman vs Khoosheh Talai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alaei A.

AI Match Summary

Mes Kerman in this Division 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mes Kerman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mes Kerman
30%
Draws
35%
Khoosheh Talai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mes Kerman have won more games recently than Khoosheh Talai.
  • Win probability leans Mes Kerman's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%
Khoosheh Talai Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Khoosheh Talai
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 15 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 0.73 0.45
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Khoosheh Talai
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Azadegan League
Khoosheh Talai vs Mes Kerman
2:1
Mar 16, 2022 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Khoosheh Talai
4:0
Nov 12, 2021 Azadegan League
Khoosheh Talai vs Mes Kerman
1:1
May 7, 2021 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Khoosheh Talai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Khoosheh Talai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 77 / 100
Khoosheh Talai 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Khoosheh Talai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mes Kerman scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Khoosheh Talai conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Mes Kerman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0
Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 6

Khoosheh Talai

(Away)
10 Jun
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Khoosheh Talai
05 Jun
Khoosheh Talai
0 : 3
Damash Gilan
30 May
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 1
Khoosheh Talai
16 May
Khoosheh Talai
2 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
08 May
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Khoosheh Talai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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